FNUS75 KBOU 201649 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR COYOTE...COUNTY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1038 AM MDT MON SEP 20 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AT THE BURN SITE SOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THESE GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 MPH...AND ALSO SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER HUMIDITIES THAN NORMAL AT THESE ELEVATIONS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR WITH SUMMER-LIKE WEATHER EXPECTED. HIGH BASED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN ALSO BE ANTICIPATED IN THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS BUT ONLY LIGHT RAINFALL. WATCH OUT AS THESE SHOWERS APPROACH. WINDS WILL RELAX LATER TONIGHT AND REMAIN RELATIVELY LIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. A BETTER CHANCE OF RAIN IS EXPECTED BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-69. MIN HUMIDITY........17-21%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST/NORTHWEST WINDS 15-24 MPH. GUSTS TO 40 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 28-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1300...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100. MIN TEMPERATURE.....41. MAX HUMIDITY........54%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 11-21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....67. MIN HUMIDITY........19%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10-16 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 3800-4800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. GOOD AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR COYOTE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 09/20-11 17 0 63 19 W 21 1 2464 W 31 67110 G 09/20-12 44 30 64 19 W 21 33 4 4 SW25 3182 W 31 86505 G 09/20-13 51 30 65 18 W 22 4 3744 W 32 104576 V 09/20-14 51 30 66 19 W 24 4 4305 W 32 122648 V 09/20-15 56 30 63 22 W 25 40 5 4 SW37 4867 W 33 140720 V 09/20-16 56 30 61 25 W 24 4 3944 W 31 109450 V 09/20-17 56 30 58 31 W 22 4 3020 W 29 78179 G 09/20-18 45 10 55 36 W 20 31 5 2 SW37 2097 W 25 46909 F 09/20-19 45 10 52 39 W 20 2 1513 W 24 33493 P 09/20-20 45 10 50 41 W 20 2 929 W 23 20077 P 09/20-21 45 5 48 43 W 20 31 3 1 SW36 345 W 22 6661 P 09/20-22 45 5 47 44 W 17 1 319 W 20 5585 P 09/20-23 45 5 47 44 W 15 1 293 W 17 4509 P 09/21-00 24 2 46 45 W 13 21 2 1 W44 266 W 15 3434 P 09/21-01 24 2 44 48 W 12 1 245 W 13 2867 P 09/21-02 24 2 42 51 W 10 1 223 W 12 2301 P 09/21-03 24 2 42 52 SW 10 16 2 1 W46 201 SW 10 1734 P 09/21-04 24 2 41 53 SW 12 1 198 SW 12 1881 P 09/21-05 24 2 41 54 SW 13 1 195 SW 12 2028 P 09/21-06 25 8 42 53 SW 14 22 2 1 W49 192 SW 13 2174 P 09/21-07 25 8 43 50 SW 14 1 436 SW 14 5939 P 09/21-08 25 8 44 48 W 14 1 680 W 15 9704 P 09/21-09 25 8 46 44 W 14 22 3 1 W41 924 W 17 13468 P 09/21-10 25 8 49 38 W 14 1 1802 W 18 32950 P 09/21-11 25 8 54 32 W 13 1 2680 W 21 52594 F 09/21-12 25 2 58 27 W 13 21 2 1 W33 3558 W 23 72239 G 09/21-13 25 2 62 23 W 13 1 4055 W 22 75509 G 09/21-14 25 2 64 21 W 12 1 4552 W 21 78779 G 09/21-15 25 2 65 19 W 12 18 3 1 W23 5049 W 18 82049 G 09/21-16 25 2 66 19 W 12 1 4922 W 17 73568 G 09/21-17 25 2 66 19 W 10 1 4794 W 16 65086 G 09/21-18 29 2 63 20 W 10 16 3 1 SW20 4667 W 14 56604 F 09/21-19 29 2 58 24 W 10 1 3193 W 13 38530 P 09/21-20 29 2 53 28 W 12 1 1719 W 13 20456 P 09/21-21 29 2 51 31 W 12 18 3 1 SW23 245 W 12 2383 P 09/21-22 29 2 49 33 W 12 1 235 SW 12 2319 P 09/21-23 29 2 47 35 SW 13 1 225 SW 12 2255 P 09/22-00 20 2 44 39 SW 13 20 3 1 SW29 214 SW 12 2191 P 09/22-01 20 2 42 42 SW 13 1 212 SW 12 2211 P 09/22-02 20 2 40 44 SW 13 1 209 SW 13 2231 P 09/22-03 20 2 39 46 SW 14 20 2 1 SW32 206 SW 13 2251 P 09/22-04 20 2 38 47 SW 14 1 208 SW 13 2244 P 09/22-05 20 2 38 48 SW 13 1 210 SW 13 2236 P 09/22-06 46 3 38 48 SW 13 20 2 1 SW31 212 SW 13 2228 P 09/22-07 46 3 40 45 SW 12 1 378 SW 12 3670 P 09/22-08 46 3 42 42 SW 10 1 545 SW 12 5111 P 09/22-09 46 3 46 36 SW 9 15 2 1 SW33 712 SW 10 6553 P 09/22-10 46 3 50 33 S 8 1 1819 SW 12 19162 P 09/22-11 46 3 52 33 S 8 1 2926 SW 12 31771 P 09/22-12 56 28 54 32 S 7 7 2 3 W46 4033 SW 13 44380 F 09/22-13 56 28 55 32 S 7 3 4281 SW 14 51154 F 09/22-14 56 28 56 31 S 7 3 4528 SW 15 57929 F 09/22-15 56 28 57 29 S 7 7 2 3 S48 4776 S 16 64704 G 09/22-16 56 28 56 29 S 7 3 4683 S 18 73070 G 09/22-17 56 28 55 29 S 8 3 4591 S 21 81436 G 09/22-18 70 28 55 29 S 8 8 2 4 SW47 4498 S 23 89802 G 09/22-19 70 28 52 33 S 8 4 3794 S 22 73181 G 09/22-20 70 28 49 37 S 8 4 3090 S 21 56560 F 09/22-21 70 28 48 40 SW 7 7 2 4 S36 2386 S 20 39938 P 09/22-22 70 28 47 42 SW 7 4 1795 SW 16 28219 P 09/22-23 70 28 46 45 SW 7 4 1205 SW 13 16499 P 09/23-00 55 21 44 49 SW 7 7 2 3 SW39 615 W 9 4780 P 09/23-01 55 21 43 52 SW 7 3 522 W 10 4436 P 09/23-02 55 21 42 54 SW 7 3 429 W 12 4092 P 09/23-03 55 21 42 55 SW 7 7 2 3 SW58 337 W 13 3748 P 09/23-04 55 21 41 53 SW 8 3 402 W 14 5182 P 09/23-05 55 21 41 50 SW 8 3 467 W 16 6616 P 09/23-06 50 20 41 48 SW 9 14 2 1 SW51 531 W 17 8050 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...STU NAY REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100920.COYOT.01/BOU