FNUS75 KGJT 200450
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH CARVER...USFS SAN JUAN NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1050 PM MDT SUN SEP 19 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
AND TONIGHT. GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN WEATHER CONCERN
AS MOISTURE WILL BE SOMEWHAT LIMITED. LINGERING CLOUD COVER TONIGHT
WILL INHIBIT NORMAL DRAINAGE WINDS. DRIER BUT COOLER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TUESDAY PRECEDING THE NEXT WEATHER DISTURBANCE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT SOUTH WINDS 2-5 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH. OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS TO 20 MPH DEVELOPING AROUND 1300
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (15100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) EVENING...THEN MOSTLY
                    CLEAR (20-30%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........53-58%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 12 MPH DECREASING TO 5 MPH AFTER
                    2100. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR (3800-8500 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AT
                    5-10 MPH BY NOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7100-37900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 11 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT MCDERMID
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100920.SOUTH.01/GJT