FNUS73 KMQT 201454 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR HQ BUCK THORN...USFWS SENEY NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 1054 AM EDT MON SEP 20 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1230 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 20. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...OUR DRY WEATHER WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS LOW PRESSURE ORGANIZING OVER THE DAKOTAS TRACKS NORTHEAST...AND PASSES JUST NORTH OF LAKE SUPERIOR TUESDAY MORNING. THE RESULT WILL BE INCREASING SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...WITH BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS DEVELOPING TONIGHT...STRONGEST OVER THE KEWEENAW PENINSULA AS WELL AS CENTRAL AND EAST NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR. ALONG WITH THESE STRONGER WINDS...HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL TOP OUT ROUGHLY 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL ON TUESDAY. DRY WEATHER AND LIGHTER WINDS WILL RETURN TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES ACROSS THE REGION. OUR NEXT WEATHER MAKER...WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE...WILL SURGE NORTHEASTWARD OVER UPPER MICHIGAN THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....58 AT IGNITION...MAX 64. MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 48 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE EAST WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH BY LATE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 27 MPH LATE. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (328) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (515) INCREASING TO GOOD (528) LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2600-4400 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING. TIME (EDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........30 37 34 35 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............54 61 63 63 RH..............66 51 48 51 GENERAL WIND....SE 6 SE 8 SE 8 SE 7 GENERAL GUST....15 15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100.220 384 515 528 MIX HGT (FT)....2800 4300 4300 3300 .TONIGHT... MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 52. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN INCREASING TO 17 TO 22 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 19 TO 36 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AND INCREASING TO 40 TO 57 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (81). MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1900 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.10 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM TEMP............60 57 55 54 53 53 RH..............60 72 84 93 100 100 GENERAL WIND....SE 6 SE 6 SE 8 S 12 S 12 S 18 GENERAL GUST....15 15 15 25 25 30 VINDX KT-FT/100.393 204 99 85 86 103 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 900 400 300 200 300 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 71. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 64 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST 6 TO 11 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 38 TO 59 MPH BECOMING WEST AND DECREASING TO 11 TO 19 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (424). RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.24 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........90 84 76 70 57 40 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE TEMP............54 59 64 69 71 70 RH..............100 94 84 74 67 64 GENERAL WIND....SW 17 SW 17 SW 12 W 10 W 10 W 8 GENERAL GUST....30 30 25 20 20 15 VINDX KT-FT/100.110 56 180 301 424 250 $$ FORECASTER...DLG REQUESTED BY...GARY LINDSAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100920.HQBUC.01/MQT