FNUS75 KBOU 221044 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR COW CREEK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 440 AM MDT WED SEP 22 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SUBTROPCIAL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE LATER THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT WHICH SHOULD LEAD TO A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ESPECIALLY AFTER 1500 WITH WETTING RAINS. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AT TIMES BEFORE PRECIPITATION DEVELOPS WITH GOOD DISPERSION DEVELOPING AFTER 1100. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1500...THEN THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....63. MIN HUMIDITY........31%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 16-26 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13-24 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 25-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 7600-8600 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....45. MAX HUMIDITY........74%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 14-20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6400-7200 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 1600-2400 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 2300...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2400...THEN POOR UNTIL 0500...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 0900...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....58. MIN HUMIDITY........23%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST WINDS 24-39 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 28-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4400 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 8200-9200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 0800...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 0900...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR COW CREEK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 09/22-04 19 1 43 45 SW 14 1 161 SW 13 1821 P 09/22-05 19 1 43 44 SW 15 1 157 W 14 1816 P 09/22-06 43 8 43 44 SW 15 24 2 1 SW43 153 W 14 1811 P 09/22-07 43 8 44 43 SW 14 1 1053 SW 16 18929 P 09/22-08 43 8 48 39 SW 14 1 1953 SW 18 36046 P 09/22-09 43 8 52 34 SW 14 22 3 1 SW43 2853 SW 22 53164 F 09/22-10 43 8 57 31 SW 17 1 4399 SW 23 91509 G 09/22-11 43 8 59 31 SW 21 1 5945 SW 24 129855 V 09/22-12 80 40 61 31 SW 23 37 2 4 SW29 7491 SW 25 168201 E 09/22-13 80 40 62 31 SW 23 4 7943 SW 29 199871 E 09/22-14 80 40 62 31 SW 22 4 8396 SW 31 231542 E 09/22-15 80 60 63 32 SW 20 31 2 5 SW52 8848 SW 35 263212 E 09/22-16 80 60 63 33 SW 17 5 8308 SW 31 225792 E 09/22-17 80 60 61 36 SW 14 5 7767 S 28 188372 E 09/22-18 90 65 61 37 SW 12 18 2 4 S47 7226 S 24 150952 E 09/22-19 90 65 58 43 SW 9 4 6444 S 22 127185 V 09/22-20 90 65 55 49 SW 8 4 5662 SW 21 103418 V 09/22-21 90 65 54 53 SW 8 13 2 4 SW37 4880 SW 18 79651 G 09/22-22 90 65 53 57 SW 8 4 4059 SW 17 63257 G 09/22-23 90 65 52 60 SW 8 4 3237 SW 16 46863 F 09/23-00 83 65 50 65 SW 9 15 2 4 SW52 2415 SW 15 30469 P 09/23-01 83 65 49 69 SW 10 4 2135 SW 15 28247 P 09/23-02 83 65 48 72 SW 13 4 1856 W 16 26024 P 09/23-03 83 65 47 74 W 14 23 2 4 SW59 1576 W 17 23801 P 09/23-04 83 65 46 74 W 17 4 1872 W 21 35872 P 09/23-05 83 65 46 73 W 20 4 2168 W 24 47942 F 09/23-06 62 29 46 70 W 23 37 2 1 W32 2464 W 28 60013 G 09/23-07 62 29 47 64 W 26 1 3273 W 31 94109 G 09/23-08 62 29 48 56 W 30 1 4081 W 35 128205 V 09/23-09 52 29 51 47 W 33 53 3 1 SW20 4890 W 38 162302 E 09/23-10 52 29 54 40 W 35 1 5910 W 37 184984 E 09/23-11 52 29 55 35 W 35 1 6929 W 35 207667 E 09/23-12 41 10 56 31 W 33 53 2 1 W26 7948 W 33 230349 E 09/23-13 41 10 56 28 W 32 1 8496 W 33 245557 E 09/23-14 41 10 57 26 W 31 1 9044 W 33 260765 E 09/23-15 41 10 57 24 W 30 48 2 1 NW44 9591 W 33 275974 E 09/23-16 41 10 57 23 W 29 1 8863 W 31 239388 E 09/23-17 41 10 56 23 W 26 1 8135 W 29 202802 E 09/23-18 25 0 56 23 W 25 40 3 1 NW46 7407 NW 25 166216 E 09/23-19 25 0 54 27 W 24 1 6409 W 25 141355 V 09/23-20 25 0 52 31 W 23 1 5410 W 24 116494 V 09/23-21 25 0 51 33 W 22 35 4 1 NW36 4411 W 24 91633 G 09/23-22 25 0 50 35 W 21 1 3793 W 23 76221 G 09/23-23 25 0 50 35 W 21 1 3176 W 22 60809 G 09/24-00 1 0 48 36 W 20 31 4 1 NW31 2558 W 21 45396 F 09/24-01 1 0 48 37 W 18 1 2166 W 20 36825 P 09/24-02 1 0 47 37 W 16 1 1774 W 17 28253 P 09/24-03 1 0 47 37 W 15 24 4 1 W28 1382 W 16 19681 P 09/24-04 1 0 46 36 W 14 1 1230 W 15 16774 P 09/24-05 1 0 46 35 W 14 1 1078 W 15 13867 P 09/24-06 1 0 46 35 W 13 21 4 1 W26 926 W 14 10960 P 09/24-07 1 0 47 33 W 12 1 1880 W 13 19104 P 09/24-08 1 0 50 29 W 9 1 2834 W 12 27247 P 09/24-09 1 0 54 25 W 8 13 5 1 W26 3788 W 10 35391 P 09/24-10 1 0 58 21 W 7 1 5432 W 12 59958 F 09/24-11 1 0 59 20 W 6 1 7077 W 13 84525 G 09/24-12 1 0 61 19 W 5 5 5 1 W28 8721 W 15 109092 V 09/24-13 1 0 62 19 W 5 1 9459 W 15 127367 V 09/24-14 1 0 62 19 W 6 1 10197 W 16 145642 V 09/24-15 1 0 63 19 W 7 7 4 1 W32 10935 W 17 163917 E 09/24-16 1 0 62 20 W 8 1 10348 W 17 154667 E 09/24-17 1 0 61 21 W 8 1 9761 W 17 145417 V 09/24-18 1 0 61 22 W 9 15 4 1 W32 9173 W 17 136168 V 09/24-19 1 0 58 25 W 10 1 7324 W 17 108124 V 09/24-20 1 0 55 27 W 12 1 5475 W 17 80081 G 09/24-21 1 0 54 29 W 13 21 5 1 W25 3625 W 16 52038 F 09/24-22 1 0 52 30 W 13 1 2843 W 15 39366 P 09/24-23 1 0 51 30 W 12 1 2060 W 14 26693 P 09/25-00 20 0 50 32 W 12 18 5 1 W23 1278 W 13 14021 P 09/25-01 20 0 49 33 W 13 1 1040 W 14 11722 P 09/25-02 20 0 48 34 W 13 1 802 W 14 9423 P 09/25-03 20 0 47 35 W 14 22 5 1 NW25 564 W 15 7124 P 09/25-04 20 0 46 36 W 14 1 536 W 14 6387 P 09/25-05 20 0 46 35 W 13 1 507 W 13 5650 P 09/25-06 20 0 46 35 W 12 18 4 1 N22 478 W 12 4913 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...GERALD TUZON REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100921.COWCR.01/BOU