FNUS73 KPAH 211431 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR TA 9B FALL...DOD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 931 AM CDT TUE SEP 21 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... BURNING CONDITIONS WILL BE DRY TODAY...INCLUDING DRY FUELS. DUE TO A WELL MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GUST ABOVE 15 MPH ONCE IN A WHILE IN THE AFTERNOON...BUT NOT BE SUSTAINED AT THAT LEVEL. LOW LEVEL WIND BEHAVIOR SHOULD BE SIMILAR ON WEDNESDAY. UPPER LEVEL ENERGY MAY TOUCH OFF SOME WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT. WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK... BUT A COOL DOWN IS EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND AFTER A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION ON FRIDAY ASSOCIATED WITH THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........86 AT IGNITION...MAX 92. RH..................36 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 25 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 7 TO 8 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS ABOVE 15 MPH POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 7400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...AND HIGHER IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 14 MPH. TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............86 88 89 90 90 89 87 RH..............36 31 28 25 28 30 36 20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 8 8 8 7 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 12 16 15 12 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...7.4 9.8 11 12 11 7.4 3.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW S TRANSP WIND SPD.14 13 14 15 15 12 9 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 67. RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............82 76 73 71 69 68 RH..............46 58 64 71 76 78 20 FT WIND......S 3 S 3 S 3 S 3 S 3 S 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....300 BLW100 300 300 300 BLW100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 7 S 7 S 7 S 7 S 5 S 5 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 92. RH..................MIN 31 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH. SOME GUSTS AROUND 15 MPH POSSIBLE. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-4000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 9700-10700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 6800 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 3200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............68 81 89 91 RH..............81 56 39 36 20 FT WIND......SW 3G5 SW 6G10 SW 7G14 SW 7G15 MIX HGT (FT)....300 4000 9600 9700 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 7 W 14 SW 17 SW 15 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...BLANCHARD REQUESTED BY...DREW MICKOLAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100921.TA9BF.01/PAH