FNUS73 KPAH 221658 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR FRANKLIN CREEK...USFS LBL NAT REC AREA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1158 AM CDT WED SEP 22 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... POTENTIALLY VOLATILE BURNING DAY TODAY AND THURSDAY. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE SUSTAINED 10 TO 15 MPH...AND MAY GUST OVER 20 MPH AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO DROP TO NEAR 30 PERCENT...AND THERE WILL BE STRONG MIXING THROUGH AT LEAST 10 KFT. A LIGHT SOUTH WIND WILL PERSIST TONIGHT...WHILE A LOW-LEVEL INVERSION SETS UP TOWARD SUNSET. WINDS MAY BE MORE FROM THE SOUTH...BUT A BIT STRONGER THURSDAY...AND THE HUMIDITY MAY INCREASE SOME. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........91 AT IGNITION...MAX 94. RH..................34 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 28 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 11 MPH AT IGNITION...AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 6. MIXING HEIGHT.......10500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 11000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............91 93 93 91 89 RH..............34 31 29 33 36 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..9 8 6 5 4 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 10 10 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...10 11 11 10 10 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW S TRANSP WIND SPD.20 18 17 15 13 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 6 6 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 67. RH..................MAX 90 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 23 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............84 77 74 71 70 69 RH..............44 58 64 71 76 81 20 FT WIND......SW 2 S 2 S 2 S 2 S 2 S 2 20 FT WIND GUST.5 MIX HGT (FT)....10300 6100 3200 900 BLW100 BLW100 TRANSPORT WIND..S 10 S 13 S 15 S 17 S 20 S 22 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....6 5 4 4 4 4 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 92. RH..................MIN 28 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 11 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7600-8600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 23 TO 25 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............68 80 89 91 RH..............84 58 38 34 20 FT WIND......S 2 S 6G10 S 8G15 S 8G15 MIX HGT (FT)....900 4300 7600 8600 TRANSPORT WIND..S 24 S 23 S 23 S 24 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...SPAETH REQUESTED BY...REGINA ROBY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100922.FRANK.01/PAH