FNUS71 KRNK 221400
FWSRNK

SPOT FORECAST FOR AUSTIN FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1000 AM EDT WED SEP 22 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0935 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST SHIFTS SOUTHEAST
THROUGH FRIDAY BUT MAINTAINS ITS PRESENCE ACROSS OUR AREA.
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL PASS ACROSS THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON TRIGGERING SOME SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.  A COLD
FRONT DROPS SOUTHEAST INTO THE REGION SATURDAY STALLING SOUTH OF
THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. THE FRONT WILL BRING A BETTER CHANCE OF
RAIN LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

IN SUMMARY...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM THREAT THIS AFTERNOON.  DRY
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.  WETTING RAIN POTENTIAL LATER THIS WEEKEND AND
THE FIRST OF NEXT WEEK.   TEMPERATURES WILL BE UNSEASONALBLY WARM
TODAY...THURSDAY...AND FRIDAY...THEN TREND COOLER OVER THE WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST AROUND
                    6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......30 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST...INCREASING TO 12 TO 14 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.


TIME (EDT)          9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............20     37     47     49     50
WEATHER COV.........              SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP................64     74     81     85     86
RH..................85     63     48     39     38
20 FT WIND..........SW 3   W 3    W 5    W 5    W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      10     10     10
CWR.................10     10     30     30     30

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CWR (0.01 IN).......30 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 8 MPH.


TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............50     44     38     33     29     27
WEATHER COV.........SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................83     76     71     67     65     63
RH..................44     58     70     80     88     93
20 FT WIND..........W 5    W 3    W 3    W 2    W 2    NW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     5      5      5      5      5
CWR.................30     10     10     10     10     10

$$
FORECASTER...MANUEL
REQUESTED BY...NEW CASTLE COMMAND POST
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100922.AUSTI.01/RNK