FNUS75 KBOU 241144 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR COW CREEK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 545 AM MDT FRI SEP 24 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE BURN AREA TODAY WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES AND SLIGHTLY LOWER HUMIDITY LEVELS. WITH A MODERATE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT THERE WILL BE SOME GUSTY WEST WINDS ON EXPOSED RIDGES THIS MORNING. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....64. MIN HUMIDITY........18%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8-14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...MAINLY ON RIDGES. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 10400-11400 FT AGL AFTER 1500. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....42. MAX HUMIDITY........37%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 12-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH ON RIDGES. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9800 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2400. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....63. MIN HUMIDITY........18%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 7600-8600 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100. GOOD AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR COW CREEK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 09/24-05 0 0 44 40 W 16 1 661 W 16 9751 P 09/24-06 0 0 43 38 W 14 22 5 1 W36 567 W 15 7108 P 09/24-07 0 0 44 36 W 12 1 1439 W 15 18367 P 09/24-08 0 0 49 30 W 10 1 2312 W 15 29625 P 09/24-09 0 0 53 25 W 9 15 5 1 W39 3184 W 15 40884 F 09/24-10 0 0 57 21 W 9 1 4884 W 17 77989 G 09/24-11 0 0 59 19 W 10 1 6584 W 20 115094 V 09/24-12 5 0 61 18 W 12 18 5 1 W39 8283 W 21 152199 E 09/24-13 5 0 62 18 W 12 1 9294 W 21 168755 E 09/24-14 5 0 63 18 W 10 1 10304 W 21 185310 E 09/24-15 5 0 64 18 W 10 16 4 1 W32 11315 W 21 201866 E 09/24-16 5 0 63 19 W 10 1 10790 W 21 197859 E 09/24-17 5 0 62 21 W 12 1 10265 W 22 193852 E 09/24-18 1 0 61 22 W 13 21 4 1 W31 9740 W 22 189845 E 09/24-19 1 0 58 25 W 14 1 7466 W 22 143994 V 09/24-20 1 0 55 28 W 15 1 5193 W 21 98143 G 09/24-21 1 0 53 30 W 16 25 5 1 W29 2919 W 21 52293 F 09/24-22 1 0 51 31 W 15 1 2183 W 18 37644 P 09/24-23 1 0 50 32 W 14 1 1448 W 16 22996 P 09/25-00 1 0 48 34 W 13 21 4 1 NW28 712 W 14 8348 P 09/25-01 1 0 47 35 W 14 1 567 W 14 6824 P 09/25-02 1 0 46 36 W 15 1 422 W 15 5301 P 09/25-03 1 0 45 37 W 16 25 4 1 N18 277 W 16 3777 P 09/25-04 2 0 44 36 W 15 1 275 W 15 3623 P 09/25-05 2 0 44 34 W 14 1 274 W 15 3469 P 09/25-06 2 0 44 33 W 13 21 4 1 NW21 272 W 14 3315 P 09/25-07 2 0 45 30 W 12 1 1214 W 13 12072 P 09/25-08 2 0 48 27 W 12 1 2156 W 12 20829 P 09/25-09 2 0 52 23 W 10 16 3 1 NW23 3098 W 12 29587 P 09/25-10 2 0 53 23 W 9 1 3577 W 12 33557 P 09/25-11 2 0 57 20 W 8 1 5252 W 10 47994 F 09/25-12 3 0 60 19 W 7 7 2 1 N22 6927 W 10 62431 G 09/25-13 3 0 61 18 W 7 1 7531 W 10 64586 G 09/25-14 3 0 62 18 NW 7 1 8135 NW 9 66741 G 09/25-15 3 0 62 18 NW 7 7 2 1 NW21 8739 NW 9 68896 G 09/25-16 3 0 62 19 NW 6 1 8541 NW 9 68444 G 09/25-17 3 0 62 20 NW 6 1 8342 NW 9 67992 G 09/25-18 8 0 61 22 N 5 5 2 1 N25 8144 NW 9 67539 G 09/25-19 8 0 60 23 N 5 1 6365 NW 8 50217 F 09/25-20 8 0 57 26 N 5 1 4586 N 7 32895 P 09/25-21 8 0 54 28 N 5 5 2 1 N24 2808 N 7 15573 P 09/25-22 8 0 52 31 N 3 1 2019 N 5 10599 P 09/25-23 8 0 51 33 NE 2 1 1231 N 3 5625 P 09/26-00 4 0 50 35 CALM 1 2 1 N22 443 CALM 652 P 09/26-01 4 0 49 35 N 2 1 392 NW 2 830 P 09/26-02 4 0 48 35 W 3 1 341 W 3 1009 P 09/26-03 4 0 48 34 W 5 5 2 1 N21 289 W 5 1187 P 09/26-04 4 0 48 34 W 5 1 258 W 5 1127 P 09/26-05 4 0 47 34 W 5 1 227 W 6 1067 P 09/26-06 4 0 47 34 W 5 5 2 1 N22 196 W 6 1007 P 09/26-07 4 0 48 31 W 5 1 358 W 5 1364 P 09/26-08 4 0 50 29 W 3 1 520 W 5 1721 P 09/26-09 4 0 53 26 W 3 3 4 1 N20 682 W 3 2078 P 09/26-10 4 0 56 24 W 2 1 2625 NW 3 10835 P 09/26-11 4 0 60 23 SW 2 1 4568 NW 5 19592 P 09/26-12 6 0 63 22 CALM 1 3 1 N14 6512 N 5 28348 P 09/26-13 6 0 64 20 CALM 1 7450 NW 5 33592 P 09/26-14 6 0 65 19 CALM 1 8387 NW 6 38836 P 09/26-15 6 0 65 18 CALM 1 3 1 N13 9325 NW 6 44079 F 09/26-16 6 0 66 17 CALM 1 9314 NW 6 51162 F 09/26-17 6 0 65 17 CALM 1 9304 NW 7 58245 F 09/26-18 6 0 65 17 SW 2 2 3 1 NW13 9293 NW 8 65328 G 09/26-19 6 0 63 18 W 3 1 6524 NW 8 45866 F 09/26-20 6 0 60 20 W 6 1 3756 NW 8 26403 P 09/26-21 6 0 57 23 NW 7 7 3 1 NW13 987 NW 8 6941 P 09/26-22 6 0 54 25 W 7 1 729 W 8 5123 P 09/26-23 6 0 52 27 W 7 1 471 W 8 3306 P 09/27-00 6 0 51 28 W 7 7 3 1 NW12 214 W 8 1488 P 09/27-01 6 0 50 29 W 8 1 202 W 8 1498 P 09/27-02 6 0 49 30 W 8 1 190 W 9 1507 P 09/27-03 6 0 49 30 W 9 15 4 1 NW10 178 W 10 1517 P 09/27-04 6 0 48 31 W 10 1 178 W 10 1587 P 09/27-05 6 0 48 31 W 12 1 178 W 10 1657 P 09/27-06 6 0 48 31 W 12 18 4 1 NW13 177 W 12 1727 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...CRAIG BROUWER REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100923.COWCR.01/BOU