FNUS76 KMFR 240002
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR UPPER THOMAS CREEK...USFS LAKEVIEW RANGER DIST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
502 PM PDT THU SEP 23 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1645 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD OVER THE AREA TONIGHT IN
THE WAKE OF A WEAK FRONT. THIS AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL LEAD TO
AN INCREASINGLY WARMER AND DRIER AIR MASS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
HIGH TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY WILL APPROACH SEASONAL VALUES WHILE
HIGH TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY WILL TURN OUT NEARLY 10 DEGREES
ABOVE AVERAGE. ANOTHER WEAK FRONT WILL ARRIVE AT THE COAST LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT AND MOSTLY DISSIPATE BEFORE IT REACHES THE BURN SUNDAY.
THIS WILL TRIM TEMPERATURES SUNDAY SEVERAL DEGREES FROM SATURDAY.
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN DOMINATE INTO AT LEAST THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK AND AGAIN BRING A WARM AND DRY AIR MASS.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75.
MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WIND 1 TO 3 MPH BECOMING WEST 2 TO 4
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45.
MAX HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BECOMING SOUTHWEST WIND 1 TO 3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 500-1600 FT AGL
                    THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80.
MIN HUMIDITY........10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BECOMING SOUTHWEST WIND 3 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 7000 FT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
CLEAR. LOWS 45 TO 50. HIGHS 74 TO 79. LIGHT WIND.
.MONDAY...
CLEAR. LOWS 44 TO 49. HIGHS 75 TO 80. LIGHT WIND.
.TUESDAY...
CLEAR. LOWS 42 TO 47. HIGHS 76 TO 81. LIGHT WIND.

$$
FORECASTER...NELAIMISCHKIES
REQUESTED BY...KENNETH COLEY NEIDER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100923.UPPER.01/MFR