FNUS75 KBOU 241759 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR HAYBALE FIRE...OTHER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1159 AM MDT FRI SEP 24 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...WEAK SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS ARE IN PLACE OVER EASTERN COLORADO WITH LIGHT SURFACE WINDS. LIGHT TO MODERATE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. AIRMASS DRY AND STABLE. A WEAK SURGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO NORTHEAST COLORADO OVERNIGHT WHICH MAY ENHANCE THE OVERNIGHT DRAINAGE WINDS FOR A FEW HOURS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85. MIN HUMIDITY........14-20%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5-10 MPH...GUSTS TO 15 MPH AFTER 1400. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7200-8200 FT AGL UNTIL 1400...THEN 10000-11000 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 8400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-48. MAX HUMIDITY........52-60%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-82. MIN HUMIDITY........12-18%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 7200-8200 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 80. NORTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR HAYBALE FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 09/24-11 0 0 73 21 S 3 1 5922 W 7 46017 F 09/24-12 8 0 77 19 SE 5 5 3 1 W28 7595 W 10 66856 G 09/24-13 8 0 79 17 SE 5 1 8746 W 12 84722 G 09/24-14 8 0 80 16 SE 3 1 9897 W 12 102587 V 09/24-15 8 0 81 16 SE 2 2 3 1 W24 11048 W 13 120452 V 09/24-16 8 0 80 16 S 2 1 9743 W 13 104040 V 09/24-17 8 0 78 17 W 3 1 8438 W 12 87628 G 09/24-18 10 0 77 18 W 5 5 4 1 W22 7133 W 12 71216 G 09/24-19 10 0 71 22 W 7 1 4839 W 13 48512 F 09/24-20 10 0 66 28 W 9 1 2544 W 14 25808 P 09/24-21 10 0 63 31 W 12 17 5 1 W20 250 W 14 3103 P 09/24-22 10 0 60 35 W 13 1 209 W 14 2593 P 09/24-23 10 0 59 38 W 14 1 168 W 14 2083 P 09/25-00 10 0 55 43 W 14 21 5 1 NW21 126 W 14 1572 P 09/25-01 10 0 53 47 W 14 1 115 W 14 1439 P 09/25-02 10 0 51 50 W 14 1 104 W 15 1306 P 09/25-03 10 0 49 52 W 14 21 3 1 NW15 93 W 15 1173 P 09/25-04 2 0 49 52 W 14 1 97 W 14 1157 P 09/25-05 2 0 48 50 NW 13 1 100 NW 14 1142 P 09/25-06 2 0 48 50 NW 12 17 3 1 W10 103 NW 13 1126 P 09/25-07 2 0 50 45 NW 10 1 187 NW 12 1804 P 09/25-08 2 0 55 38 NW 9 1 272 NW 12 2482 P 09/25-09 2 0 61 30 NW 8 8 3 1 W12 357 NW 10 3159 P 09/25-10 2 0 63 28 NW 8 1 2756 NW 9 21330 P 09/25-11 2 0 70 21 NW 7 1 5314 NW 9 41079 F 09/25-12 3 0 74 18 N 7 7 3 1 W18 7873 NW 9 60828 G 09/25-13 3 0 76 16 N 7 1 8328 NW 8 58673 F 09/25-14 3 0 77 15 N 6 1 8784 NW 7 56517 F 09/25-15 3 0 78 15 N 6 6 3 1 W22 9239 NW 7 54362 F 09/25-16 3 0 78 15 N 6 1 7941 N 6 42287 F 09/25-17 3 0 77 16 N 5 1 6643 N 5 30213 P 09/25-18 5 0 76 17 NE 5 5 3 1 NW20 5344 NE 3 18139 P 09/25-19 5 0 73 19 N 5 1 3627 N 3 12219 P 09/25-20 5 0 68 23 N 3 1 1910 N 2 6299 P 09/25-21 5 0 64 28 NW 3 3 3 1 NW20 193 N 2 379 P 09/25-22 5 0 60 33 NW 3 1 187 N 2 355 P 09/25-23 5 0 56 38 NW 3 1 181 N 2 330 P 09/26-00 4 0 54 43 NW 3 3 3 1 NW17 175 N 2 306 P 09/26-01 4 0 52 46 NW 3 1 161 NW 2 358 P 09/26-02 4 0 50 48 NW 5 1 148 NW 3 410 P 09/26-03 4 0 49 49 NW 5 5 3 1 N18 134 NW 3 462 P 09/26-04 4 0 48 51 NW 6 1 128 NW 5 492 P 09/26-05 4 0 47 52 NW 6 1 122 NW 5 522 P 09/26-06 4 0 47 54 NW 6 6 3 1 N15 115 NW 6 552 P 09/26-07 4 0 50 50 NW 5 1 143 NW 5 512 P 09/26-08 4 0 53 46 NW 3 1 171 NW 3 472 P 09/26-09 4 0 58 40 NW 2 2 3 1 N15 199 NW 2 432 P 09/26-10 4 0 64 32 W 2 1 1797 NW 2 3765 P 09/26-11 4 0 71 25 S 3 1 3395 NW 2 7097 P 09/26-12 6 0 76 21 SE 5 5 3 1 N12 4993 NW 2 10429 P 09/26-13 6 0 78 19 SE 5 1 5163 W 2 10082 P 09/26-14 6 0 80 18 SE 5 1 5332 SW 2 9735 P 09/26-15 6 0 80 17 SE 5 5 3 1 NW12 5502 SW 2 9389 P 09/26-16 6 0 80 17 SE 5 1 5336 SW 2 9787 P 09/26-17 6 0 80 16 SE 5 1 5171 S 2 10185 P 09/26-18 6 0 79 17 SE 5 5 4 1 NW17 5005 S 2 10583 P 09/26-19 6 0 75 18 S 5 1 3392 S 3 7253 P 09/26-20 6 0 70 21 SW 5 1 1779 SW 3 3923 P 09/26-21 6 0 65 25 W 5 5 3 1 NW15 166 SW 5 594 P 09/26-22 6 0 61 28 W 6 1 145 SW 6 635 P 09/26-23 6 0 58 32 W 8 1 124 W 7 677 P 09/27-00 5 0 55 35 W 9 9 3 1 W15 103 W 8 719 P 09/27-01 5 0 53 38 W 10 1 94 W 9 709 P 09/27-02 5 0 51 41 W 10 1 85 W 9 699 P 09/27-03 5 0 50 43 W 10 10 4 1 W14 76 W 10 689 P 09/27-04 5 0 49 45 W 10 1 75 W 10 695 P 09/27-05 5 0 49 47 W 10 1 73 W 12 701 P 09/27-06 5 0 48 48 W 10 10 3 1 NW14 71 W 12 707 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ DANKERS...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...LARRY KLOCK REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100924.HAYBA.01/BOU