FNUS75 KBOU 261106 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR COW CREEK...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 506 AM MDT SUN SEP 26 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE REGION WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES MOVING IN. MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOUT 8 DEGREES WARMER THAN YESTERDAY WITH HUMIDITIES ABOUT 2 TO 4 PERCENT DRIER. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT TODAY WITH TONIGHT SEEING WESTERLY WINDS COME OVER THE FIRE PEAKING AROUND MIDNIGHT AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS WILL PRECLUDE A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY MONDAY MORNING. NO MOISTURE WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE. THE UPPER HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER COLORADO THROUGH THE WEEK KEEPING WARMER AND DRIER THAN NORMAL WEATHER. NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION COULD BE NEXT FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...HOWEVER MOISTURE LOOKS VERY MINIMAL AND THE STRONG RIDGE MAY NOT EVEN ALLOW THIS...THEREFORE HAVE NOT INTRODUCED A MENTION OF PRECIPITATION IN THE FORECAST. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....75. MIN HUMIDITY........18%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 9400-10400 FT AGL AFTER 1300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....54. MAX HUMIDITY........27%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN WEST 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....73. MIN HUMIDITY........14%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8-13 MPH UNTIL 1200. EAST 6-7 MPH AFTER 1500. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 9000-10000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .THURSDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR COW CREEK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 09/26-05 4 0 53 29 NW 5 1 250 NW 6 1220 P 09/26-06 4 0 53 30 NW 5 5 4 1 NE16 239 NW 6 1084 P 09/26-07 4 0 54 29 NW 5 1 490 NW 5 1708 P 09/26-08 4 0 55 28 NW 3 1 742 NW 3 2332 P 09/26-09 4 0 57 26 W 3 3 4 1 NE12 994 NW 3 2956 P 09/26-10 4 0 60 24 NW 2 1 2874 NW 3 11290 P 09/26-11 4 0 63 22 CALM 1 4754 N 5 19623 P 09/26-12 7 0 66 21 CALM 1 4 1 NE 5 6635 N 5 27956 P 09/26-13 7 0 67 19 CALM 1 7865 N 5 29558 P 09/26-14 7 0 69 18 E 2 1 9096 NW 5 31159 P 09/26-15 7 0 72 18 SE 2 2 3 1 NW 5 10326 NW 3 32761 P 09/26-16 7 0 74 18 SE 2 1 10333 NW 5 41260 F 09/26-17 7 0 73 19 SE 2 1 10341 NW 6 49759 F 09/26-18 8 0 70 20 SE 2 2 3 1 NW 6 10348 NW 7 58257 F 09/26-19 8 0 67 21 S 3 1 8194 NW 7 47371 F 09/26-20 8 0 65 22 W 5 1 6041 NW 7 36485 P 09/26-21 8 0 62 24 W 6 6 3 1 NW 8 3887 NW 8 25599 P 09/26-22 8 0 60 25 W 6 1 2709 NW 8 17837 P 09/26-23 8 0 59 26 W 6 1 1532 W 8 10075 P 09/27-00 1 0 57 27 W 6 6 4 1 NW 8 354 W 8 2314 P 09/27-01 1 0 56 27 W 7 1 317 W 8 2176 P 09/27-02 1 0 56 26 W 8 1 280 W 8 2038 P 09/27-03 1 0 55 26 W 9 15 4 1 NW12 243 W 9 1899 P 09/27-04 1 0 55 25 W 10 1 230 W 10 1954 P 09/27-05 1 0 54 25 W 12 1 218 W 10 2008 P 09/27-06 4 0 54 25 W 12 17 5 1 NW13 205 W 12 2062 P 09/27-07 4 0 54 24 W 12 1 936 W 13 11078 P 09/27-08 4 0 58 20 W 10 1 1667 NW 13 20094 P 09/27-09 4 0 62 18 W 10 16 5 1 NW14 2398 NW 14 29110 P 09/27-10 4 0 64 17 W 9 1 4595 NW 14 55622 F 09/27-11 4 0 65 17 NW 9 1 6791 NW 14 82135 G 09/27-12 8 0 65 18 NW 8 8 5 1 NW18 8988 NW 14 108648 V 09/27-13 8 0 67 16 N 8 1 9545 NW 14 113738 V 09/27-14 8 0 70 15 NE 7 1 10103 NW 14 118828 V 09/27-15 8 0 72 14 E 7 7 4 1 NW22 10661 NW 14 123918 V 09/27-16 8 0 73 15 E 6 1 9634 NW 12 99420 G 09/27-17 8 0 69 17 E 5 1 8607 NW 9 74923 G 09/27-18 8 0 64 21 E 3 3 2 1 NW16 7579 NW 8 50425 F 09/27-19 8 0 56 26 SE 3 1 5146 W 6 33903 P 09/27-20 8 0 53 30 S 5 1 2713 S 5 17381 P 09/27-21 8 0 52 30 SW 6 6 2 1 NW22 279 S 3 859 P 09/27-22 8 0 52 30 SW 7 1 332 S 5 1285 P 09/27-23 8 0 53 28 SW 7 1 385 SW 5 1710 P 09/28-00 3 0 53 27 W 8 8 3 1 N17 437 SW 6 2135 P 09/28-01 3 0 50 29 W 8 1 359 SW 7 1915 P 09/28-02 3 0 50 30 W 9 1 282 W 7 1694 P 09/28-03 3 0 48 31 W 9 14 3 1 N12 204 W 8 1474 P 09/28-04 3 0 48 31 W 10 1 186 W 8 1362 P 09/28-05 3 0 48 31 W 10 1 169 W 8 1249 P 09/28-06 3 0 49 29 W 10 16 3 1 N14 152 W 8 1137 P 09/28-07 3 0 49 29 W 8 1 605 W 7 2445 P 09/28-08 3 0 55 22 NW 6 1 1058 NW 6 3753 P 09/28-09 3 0 61 18 NW 3 3 3 1 N13 1511 NW 3 5061 P 09/28-10 3 0 65 16 W 3 1 3272 NW 5 12901 P 09/28-11 3 0 66 15 SW 5 1 5033 W 5 20740 P 09/28-12 4 0 66 15 S 6 6 3 1 N 6 6794 W 5 28580 P 09/28-13 4 0 68 14 S 7 1 7471 W 6 39890 P 09/28-14 4 0 69 13 S 8 1 8149 W 7 51199 F 09/28-15 4 0 70 13 S 8 8 2 1 W 8 8826 W 8 62508 G 09/28-16 4 0 70 13 S 7 1 7732 W 8 54371 F 09/28-17 4 0 69 13 S 6 1 6638 W 8 46234 F 09/28-18 4 0 65 15 S 5 5 2 1 W10 5544 W 8 38097 P 09/28-19 4 0 59 19 S 5 1 3773 W 7 25724 P 09/28-20 4 0 56 21 S 5 1 2003 SW 6 13350 P 09/28-21 4 0 55 22 S 6 6 3 1 W10 233 SW 5 977 P 09/28-22 4 0 55 23 SW 6 1 228 SW 6 1052 P 09/28-23 4 0 56 22 W 7 1 223 W 6 1126 P 09/29-00 2 0 56 22 W 7 7 3 1 W10 218 W 7 1200 P 09/29-01 2 0 53 24 W 7 1 202 W 7 1195 P 09/29-02 2 0 53 25 W 7 1 186 W 7 1190 P 09/29-03 2 0 52 26 W 7 7 4 1 SW12 170 W 8 1185 P 09/29-04 2 0 51 26 W 7 1 173 W 8 1226 P 09/29-05 2 0 51 27 W 7 1 176 W 8 1267 P 09/29-06 2 0 52 25 W 7 7 5 1 W13 180 W 8 1308 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...FIRE OPERATIONS REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100925.COWCR.01/BOU