FNUS71 KCTP 251946 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR COYOTTEE LANE...BOF, D02 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 343 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1528 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... GUSTY DOWNSLOPE WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS HAVE PROMOTED STRONG WARMING AND MIXING ACROSS THE SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND LOWER SUSQUEHANNA VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON. THIS HAS ALLOWED FOR WIDENING TEMPERATURE AND DEWPOINT SPREADS...RESULTING IN RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES FALLING NEAR OR BELOW 30 PERCENT. THE RECENT DRY SPELL AND LOW FINE FUELS WILL COMBINE WITH THE GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RH/S TO PRODUCE NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. .THIS AFTERNOON... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80. MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING WEST 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 24 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. LAL.................NO TSTMS. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............16 23 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE TEMP................78 77 RH..................33 36 20 FT WIND..........W 9 W 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 TRANSPORT WIND......W 21 W 17 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 LAL.................1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48. MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 16 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. LAL.................NO TSTMS. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............20 10 17 26 33 38 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................76 68 63 59 56 54 RH..................37 49 58 65 72 76 20 FT WIND..........W 12 NW 7 NW 6 NW 6 NW 6 NW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 10 10 TRANSPORT WIND......W 16 NW 14 NW 10 N 12 N 16 N 12 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 4 4 4 4 4 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. LAL.................NO TSTMS. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............44 49 47 46 45 58 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................51 52 56 61 65 67 RH..................81 76 64 55 48 45 20 FT WIND..........W 5 W 3 NW 3 N 3 N 3 NE 3 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 5 5 TRANSPORT WIND......N 7 NE 6 SE 5 SE 5 SE 5 SE 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 10 10 10 10 10 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 3 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...WFO CTP/DEVOIR REQUESTED BY...BRYAN WILFORD TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100925.COYOT.01/CTP