FNUS76 KMFR 262255 FWSMFR SPOT FORECAST FOR HOME RUN -31-1...MEDFORD BLM-GFI NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 355 PM PDT SUN SEP 26 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1800 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 26. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WINDS THIS EVENING WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND NORTH AS AFTERNOON HEATING DIMINISHES AND THE DIURNAL FLOW COMING OVER THE UMPQUA DIVIDE ARRIVES. ON MONDAY IT WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY HOTTER AND DRIER IN THE AFTERNOON...BUT WINDS WILL BE LIGHT. MIXING ON MONDAY IS ONLY FAIR... AND THERE IS CONCERN THAT THE LOW MIXING HEIGHT COMBINED WITH LOW LEVEL FLOW SHIFTING TO NORTH WILL SEND SMOKE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE BURN SITE DESPITE SOUTHWEST FLOW CONTINUING ABOVE THE PRIMARY MIXING LAYER. .THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. THIN SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55. MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....UPSLOPE SOUTHWEST WINDS 1-3 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING DOWNSLOPE NORTHWEST 0-3 MPH EARLY EVENING AND THEN DOWN VALLEY NORTH WIND 0-3 MPH OVERNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FEET AGL EARLY EVENING...FALLING TO 500 FT AGL OR LESS MID TO LATE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING NORTHWEST AND THEN NORTH 5 MPH IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........A FEW HIGH CIRRUS CLOUDS EARLY...OTHERWISE SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-93. MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE AND DOWNVALLEY NORTH WIND 0-2 MPH EARLY BECOMING UPSLOPE SOUTHEAST 0-2 MPH LATE MORNING. UPSLOPE WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 0-3 MPH LATE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL EARLY...BECOMING 1500 FT AGL LATE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 0-5 MPH EARLY...THEN SOUTHEAST 0-5 MPH LATE MORNING...BECOMING NORTH 5-10 MPH AFTERNOON. $$ FORECASTER...LUTZ REQUESTED BY...ANDY BARREY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100926.HOMER.02/MFR