FNUS75 KGJT 271520
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR COULTON CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
920 AM MDT MON SEP 27 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0910 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LITTLE CHANGE HAS OCCURRED IN THE WEATHER PATTERN AS HIGH PRESSURE
REMAINS CENTERED OVER THE REGION. THIS WILL BRING A WARMING TREND
ALONG WITH NEAR RECORD HIGHS TEMPERATURES TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL BE LIMITED BY LIGHT TRANSPORT WINDS AND
STABILITY ALOFT...WITH THE BEST SMOKE DISPERSION OCCURRING AROUND
PEAK HEATING. THE SMOKE COLUMN SHOULD QUICKLY COLLAPSE BY EARLY
EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL STRENGTHEN TUESDAY RESULTING IN LOWER
MIXING HEIGHTS...WITH SMOKE DISPERSAL ONLY REACHING INTO THE VERY
LOW END FAIR CATEGORY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 1-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST (UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY) 3-6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5200-31100 KNOT-FT) MORNING...BECOMING
                    FAIR BY 1200.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-45 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........35-45%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS (DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY) 3-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3000-4700 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS (DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY) 1-5 MPH
                    UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    (UPSLOPE/UPVALEY) 3-6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300...THEN VERY LOW END FAIR UNTIL
                    1630.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...CASEY CHEESBROUGH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100927.COULT.01/GJT