FNUS76 KMFR 271900
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOME RUN -31-1...MEDFORD BLM-GFI
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1200 PM PDT MON SEP 27 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE WEATHER TODAY WILL BE VERY SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY. THE MOST NOTABLE
CHANGE IS LIKELY TO BE THAT IT WILL BE A LITTLE WARMER AND DRIER.
PER DISCUSSION WITH THE REQUESTING OFFICIAL...IT APPEARS THAT WINDS
LATE THIS AFTERNOON WILL LIKELY BECOME VARIABLE...ESPECIALLY AT
HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE BURN AREA AS NORTH WINDS SET IN ACROSS THE
MAIN ROGUE RIVER VALLEY TO THE EAST. ON TUESDAY THERE IS EXPECTED TO
BE MORE OF THIS VARIABLE WIND INFLUENCE IN THE AFTERNOON AS ONSHORE
FLOW INCREASES.

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR AND SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-88.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-31 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....UPSLOPE SOUTHEAST 0-2 MPH BECOMING UPSLOPE AND
                    UPVALLEY SOUTHWEST 1-3 MPH MID AFTERNOON. WIND
                    BECOMING VARIABLE IN DIRECTION WITH SOME
                    NORTH-NORTHWEST INFLUENCE IN DIRECTION NEAR THE
                    UPPER PORTION LATE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN
                    BECOMING VARIABLE 5-10 MPH WITH SOME NORTH-
                    NORTHWEST INFLUENCE LATE AFTERNOON.


.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. PATCHY FOG ALONG AND NEAR THE RIVER
                    AROUND SUNRISE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BECOMING DOWNSLOPE AND DOWNVALLEY 0-2 MPH MID
                    EVENING ONWARD.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING TO 500 AGL OR LESS MID EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 3 TO 8 MPH.


.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR AND SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-84.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST 0-2 MPH EARLY...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    UPSLOPE 0-2 MPH LATE MORNING...THEN VARIABLE
                    SOUTHWEST TO NORTH-NORTHWEST 2-4 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL EARLY INCREASING TO 1000 FT AGL LATE
                    MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 2500 FT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT NORTHEAST TO SOUTHEAST 3-8 MPH EARLY...THEN
                    WEST 5-12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.


$$
FORECASTER...LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...ANDY BARREY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100927.HOMER.03/MFR