FNUS75 KGJT 280648
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR ESCALANTE RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1248 AM MDT TUE SEP 28 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE BURN SITE
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL BRING NEAR RECORD
HIGHS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. WINDS ALOFT WILL BE LIGHT FROM THE
WEST TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND FROM THE NORTHEAST WEDNESDAY.SURFACE
WINDS WILL BE TERRAIN-DRIVEN. MIXING WILL BE LIMITED TO AROUND
15,000 FEET MSL UNDER AN ASSOCIATED SUBSIDENCE INVERSION. WINDS
WITHIN THE MIXED LAYER ARE AROUND 5 MPH. MIXING WILL QUICKLY
COLLAPSE AFTER 1800.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-76 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-22%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 2-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    NORTHEAST 3-8 IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300...THEN FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...INCREASING TO 7000 FT
                    AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 MPH.

.TUESDAY NIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 2-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-76 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 2-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    NORTHEAST 3-8 IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO FAIR IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...STEVE MUELLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100928.ESCAL.01/GJT