FNUS75 KPUB 291052
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR NOVEMBER RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
452 AM MDT WED SEP 29 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...CONDITIONS SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY'S WEATHER ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE BURN SITE TODAY. HUMIDITY VALUES AT THE TS872 SENSOR DROPPED
TO 17 PERCENT AROUND 330 PM...AND THINK SIMILAR CONDITIONS SHOULD OCCUR
AGAIN TODAY...THOUGH WITH LIGHT WINDS...POCKETS OF HIGHER HUMIDITIES
WILL BE NOTED IN AREAS WITH MORE SHELTERING.  WINDS WILL BE LIGHT
AGAIN TODAY THOUGH WITH THE WARM TEMPERATURES...DEEP MIXING SHOULD
PROVIDE A WINDOW OF FAIR DISPERSIONS IN THE AFTERNOON.  TONIGHT...
EASTERLY WINDS BEHIND A COLD FRONT WILL CREST THE SANGRE DE CRISTO
RANGE DURING THE EVENING AND FUNNEL COOLER AIR AND HIGHER HUMIDITIES
INTO THE SAN LUIS VALLEY OVERNIGHT. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN HIGHER HUMIDITY
RECOVERIES OVERNIGHT AT THE BURN SITE. THURSDAY WILL BE SLIGHTLY
COOLER...THOUGH STRONGER SOUTHWEST WINDS ALOFT WILL PROVIDE BETTER
AFTERNOON DISPERSIONS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST 6-12 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN EAST SOUTHEAST
                    5-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 8500 FT AGL AFTER 1100.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN EAST AROUND
                    7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42F.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........EAST WINDS AROUND 8-12 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2100.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72F.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST 8-15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 9000 FT AGL AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. VERY GOOD AFTER 1200.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

$$
FORECASTER...TORGERSON
REQUESTED BY...PAUL DUARTE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100928.NOVEM.04/PUB