FNUS75 KGJT 281857
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR ALDRICH LAKES RX...WHITE RIVER NF, BLANCO RD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1257 PM MDT TUE SEP 28 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY THEN
SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST THURSDAY WITH LITTLE CHANGE...EXCEPT THAT
WINDS ALOFT THURSDAY WILL FAVOR A MORE WESTERLY DIRECTION.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL BOTH DAYS. SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL
BE LIMITED BY LIGHT TRANSPORT WINDS AND STABILITY ALOFT...WITH THE BEST
SMOKE DISPERSION OCCURRING AROUND PEAK HEATING. THE SMOKE COLUMN
SHOULD QUICKLY COLLAPSE BY EARLY EVENING...WITH MID-LEVEL THERMAL
BELT FORMATION DURING THE NIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-13%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY (EAST-SOUTHEAST) 1-4 MPH...
                    SHIFTING TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST 3-7 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7000-17100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO FAIR
                    (BETWEEN 1200-1700 MDT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8200 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-58 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........15-25%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY (EAST-SOUTHEAST) 1-4 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3100-7100 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-13%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY (EAST-SOUTHEAST) 1-4 MPH...
                    SHIFTING TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST 3-7 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3000-38700 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO FAIR
                    (BETWEEN 1200-1700 MDT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 8 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...TONI TOELLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100929.ALDRI.01/GJT