FNUS75 KGJT 290422
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR ESCALANTE RX...FS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1022 PM MDT TUE SEP 28 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. AN ASSOCIATED SUBSIDENCE INVERSION AT ABOUT 15,000 FEET
MSL WILL LIMIT MIXING. TRANSPORT WINDS IN THE MIXED LAYER WILL BE
LIGHT FROM THE NORTH ON WEDNESDAY, SHIFTING TO SOUTHWEST ON
THURSDAY. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE TERRAIN-DRIVEN. SUBTROPICAL
MOISTURE WORKS INTO THE REGION FROM THE SOUTH STARTING FRIDAY AND
INCREASES SATURDAY. ANY LATE-DAY WEEKEND STORMS WILL PRODUCE
MORE ERRATIC WIND THAN RAIN.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-77 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 1-5 MPH...SHIFTING TO
                    SOUTHWEST 2-6 MPH BY 1000-1100.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO FAIR IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 MPH...SHIFTING TO NORTH 6 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-55%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4400-26400 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-76 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 1-5 MPH...SHIFTING TO
                    SOUTHWEST 3-8 MPH BY 1000-1100.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO FAIR IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 MPH.



$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...STEVE MUELLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100929.ESCAL.02/GJT