FNUS75 KGJT 300519
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR ALDRICH LAKES RX...WHITE RIVER NF, BLANCO RD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1119 PM MDT WED SEP 29 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. AN ASSOCIATED SUBSIDENCE INVERSION AT ABOUT 14,000 FEET
MSL WILL LIMIT MIXING. TRANSPORT WINDS THURSDAY WILL BE SOUTHWEST
AND STRONGER THAN ON WEDNESDAY...THEN NORTHWEST ON FRIDAY. HIGH-
LEVEL MOISTURE WORKS INTO THE REGION FROM THE SOUTH STARTING
FRIDAY. ANY STORMS WILL LIKELY REMAIN WELL SOUTH AND EAST OF THE
BURN SITE. BUT OUTFLOW ERRATIC WINDS COULD POSSIBLY REACH THE BURN
SITE FRIDAY OR SATURDAY NIGHT. MOISTURE INCREASES MONDAY FOR A
CHANCE OF THUNDERSHOWERS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-84 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-12%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 1-5 MPH SHIFTING TO
                    NORTHWEST 3-8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    AFTERNOON GUSTS SW15MPH OVER THE HIGHER
                    ELEVATIONS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........15-25%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 1-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4900 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 MPH.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%). AFTERNOON CUMULUS SOUTH.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-83 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-13%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 1-5 MPH SHIFTING TO
                    NORTHWEST 3-8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    AFTERNOON GUSTS W15 MPH OVER THE HIGHER
                    ELEVATIONS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 3000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000 INCREASING
                    TO 6500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO NORTHWEST LATE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...TONI TOELLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100930.ALDRI.01/GJT