FNUS75 KGJT 292100
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DOE CANYON...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
300 PM MDT WED SEP 29 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY AND PERSISTENT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. ON
FRIDAY...MID TO HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE UP FROM THE
SOUTH AND MAY PRODUCE ISOLATED VIRGA DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON. THE
FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN LIGHT...THEREFORE WINDS AT THE SURFACE WILL
GENERALLY BE TERRAIN DRIVEN. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL STAY WELL ABOVE
NORMAL.

.THURSDAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-84 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-13%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE (0-3 MPH). BECOMING
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 3-6 MPH AFTER 1200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN INCREASING
                    TO 10000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY NIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-55%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5500-8900 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED VIRGA POSSIBLE LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-84 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE (0-3 MPH). BECOMING
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 3-6 MPH AFTER 1200. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR VIRGA.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING VERY GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2600 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN INCREASING TO
                    12000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...BRAD PIETRUSZKA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100930.DOECA.02/GJT