FNUS75 KGJT 300450
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DRY PARK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1050 PM MDT WED SEP 29 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0830 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. AN ASSOCIATED SUBSIDENCE INVERSION AT ABOUT 15,000 FEET
MSL WILL LIMIT MIXING. TRANSPORT WINDS THURSDAY WILL BE FROM THE
SOUTHWEST THEN NORTHWEST ON FRIDAY. HIGH-LEVEL MOISTURE WORKS INTO
THE REGION FROM THE SOUTH STARTING FRIDAY. ANY STORMS WILL LIKELY
REMAIN WELL SOUTH AND EAST OF THE BURN SITE. BUT OUTFLOW ERRATIC
WINDS COULD POSSIBLY REACH THE BURN SITE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT.
MOISTURE INCREASES MONDAY FOR A CHANCE OF THUNDERSHOWERS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%). AFTERNOON CUMULUS EAST.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-86 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-16%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 2-5 MPH SHIFTING TO SOUTHWEST
                    4-8 MPH AFTER 1000. AFTERNOON GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR...BECOMING VERY GOOD AFTER 1300.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 3000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...
                    INCREASING TO 9000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 MPH
                    AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........25-30%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 2-5 MPH SHIFTING TO SOUTHEAST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT. EVENING SOUTHEAST WIND GUSTS TO
                    15-20 MPH IF AFTERNOON VIRGA FORMS OVER THE
                    SAN JUANS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR...EXCEPT FAIR IN ANY EVENING WIND GUSTS.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 2-5 MPH SHIFTING TO SOUTHWEST 3-8 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 3000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...INCREASING
                    TO 9000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO NORTHWEST LATE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...ERIC BRANTINGHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100930.DRYPA.01/GJT