FNAK79 PAFG 301957
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE CHENA...FAIRBANKS AREA FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1157 AM AKDT THU SEP 30 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 AKDT ON OCTOBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A CHINOOK PATTERN IS DEVELOPING. THIS WEATHER PATTERN WILL BRING A
WARM-UP IN TEMPERATURES COMPARED TO CONDITIONS EARLIER THIS WEEK.
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE CHINOOK WILL BE LIMITED TO INCREASING
CLOUDS...THE LIKELIHOOD OF PRECIPITATION IS NOT HIGH. WIND SPEEDS
WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY STRONG IN THE AREA OF THE FIRE...COMPARED
TO WIND SPEEDS DOWN IN THE ALASKA RANGE WHERE THE CHINOOK IS STRONGER.
THE CHINOOK WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...AND
WIND SPEEDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH SOMEWHAT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DIMINISHING TO 200 TO 400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 10 TO 12 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
.MONDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT
WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...STEVENS
REQUESTED BY...SCHMOLL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101001.LITTL.01/AFG