FNAK79 PAFG 301950
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR OLD MURPHY DOME...FAIRBANKS AREA FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1150 AM AKDT THU SEP 30 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 AKDT ON OCTOBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A CHINOOK PATTERN IS DEVELOPING. THIS WEATHER PATTERN WILL BRING A
WARM-UP IN TEMPERATURES COMPARED TO CONDITIONS EARLIER THIS WEEK.
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE CHINOOK WILL BE LIMITED TO INCREASING
CLOUDS...THE LIKELIHOOD OF PRECIPITATION IS QUITE LOW. WIND SPEEDS
WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY STRONG IN THE AREA OF THE FIRE...COMPARED
TO WIND SPEEDS DOWN IN THE ALASKA RANGE WHERE THE CHINOOK IS STRONGER.
THE CHINOOK WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...AND
WIND SPEEDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH SOMEWHAT.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DIMINISHING TO 200 TO 500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 TO 2000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
.MONDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT
WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...STEVENS
REQUESTED BY...SCHMOLL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101001.OLDMU.01/AFG