FNUS75 KBOU 020952 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR COW CREEK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 351 AM MDT SAT OCT 2 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THERE WILL BE A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1500 HOWEVER THEY WILL PRODUCE MAINLY GUSTY WINDS BUT LITTLE RAINFALL. OTHERWISE TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITY LEVELS SHOULD BE SIMILAR TO FRIDAY. LONG TERM OUTLOOK...SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THERE WILL BE A 10-20% CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY HOWEVER ANY RAINFALL WILL BE PRETTY LIMITED. AT THIS TIME THE BEST CHANCE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION WILL PROBABLY NOT BE UNTIL NEXT WEEKEND AND EVEN THAT IS QUESTIONABLE AT THIS POINT. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1500. MAX TEMPERATURE.....63. MIN HUMIDITY........30%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 8200-9200 FT AGL AFTER 1500. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300. GOOD AFTER 1400. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100. MIN TEMPERATURE.....46. MAX HUMIDITY........42%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN WEST 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....70. MIN HUMIDITY........16%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 7-13 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 12200-13200 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. VERY GOOD AFTER 0900. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR COW CREEK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/02-03 27 0 45 52 S 6 6 3 1 NW16 1003 S 7 5979 P 10/02-04 38 0 44 52 S 5 1 891 SW 7 5056 P 10/02-05 38 0 43 53 SW 5 1 778 SW 6 4133 P 10/02-06 38 0 43 53 S 5 5 3 1 NW21 884 SW 6 4088 P 10/02-07 38 0 45 51 SW 5 1 1166 W 6 5482 P 10/02-08 38 0 47 47 SW 5 1 1449 W 6 6876 P 10/02-09 33 0 52 40 SW 5 5 3 1 N24 1732 W 6 8270 P 10/02-10 33 0 51 44 SW 5 1 2596 W 6 15485 P 10/02-11 33 0 55 39 SW 5 1 3461 NW 7 22700 P 10/02-12 52 5 59 35 SW 5 5 3 1 N22 4325 NW 8 29914 P 10/02-13 52 5 61 32 SW 5 1 5961 NW 9 48997 F 10/02-14 52 5 63 31 S 5 1 7596 NW 10 68079 G 10/02-15 52 10 63 30 S 3 3 3 2 NW22 9231 NW 10 87162 G 10/02-16 52 10 63 30 SE 3 2 8725 NW 10 79548 G 10/02-17 52 10 63 30 SE 3 2 8218 NW 10 71934 G 10/02-18 52 10 60 33 E 3 3 3 2 NW22 7711 NW 9 64320 G 10/02-19 52 10 58 36 SE 3 2 5659 NW 8 44430 F 10/02-20 52 10 55 39 S 5 2 3607 W 6 24539 P 10/02-21 52 7 54 40 S 5 5 4 1 NW23 1555 W 3 4649 P 10/02-22 52 7 52 41 SW 6 1 1115 W 5 3615 P 10/02-23 52 7 52 42 W 6 1 675 NW 6 2582 P 10/03-00 15 0 50 42 W 7 7 3 1 N22 235 NW 8 1548 P 10/03-01 15 0 49 41 W 8 1 219 NW 8 1517 P 10/03-02 15 0 48 39 W 9 1 203 NW 8 1485 P 10/03-03 15 0 48 37 W 9 15 3 1 N22 187 W 9 1454 P 10/03-04 15 0 47 35 W 10 1 187 W 9 1503 P 10/03-05 15 0 47 34 W 10 1 187 W 9 1552 P 10/03-06 30 0 47 33 W 10 10 3 1 NW22 187 W 10 1602 P 10/03-07 30 0 48 33 W 9 1 2587 W 12 33057 P 10/03-08 30 0 52 29 W 9 1 4988 NW 14 64512 G 10/03-09 30 0 57 25 W 8 8 3 1 NW24 7388 NW 15 95967 G 10/03-10 30 0 62 21 NW 7 1 8963 NW 14 105388 V 10/03-11 30 0 65 19 NW 7 1 10537 NW 13 114809 V 10/03-12 45 10 67 18 NW 6 6 3 2 NW22 12112 NW 12 124231 V 10/03-13 45 10 68 17 NW 6 2 12668 NW 12 123601 V 10/03-14 45 10 68 17 W 5 2 13224 NW 10 122971 V 10/03-15 45 10 69 16 W 5 5 3 2 NW16 13779 NW 10 122341 V 10/03-16 45 10 68 17 SW 3 2 12920 NW 10 117233 V 10/03-17 45 10 67 19 S 3 2 12060 W 10 112126 V 10/03-18 45 10 65 21 S 3 3 3 2 W22 11201 W 12 107019 V 10/03-19 45 10 61 25 S 5 2 8637 W 9 77122 G 10/03-20 45 10 58 28 S 6 2 6074 SW 7 47224 F 10/03-21 45 10 56 30 S 7 7 3 2 W16 3510 SW 6 17327 P 10/03-22 45 10 54 31 S 7 2 2462 SW 7 12375 P 10/03-23 45 10 53 31 SW 8 2 1414 SW 7 7423 P 10/04-00 46 0 51 32 SW 8 8 3 1 W 9 366 SW 8 2472 P 10/04-01 46 0 50 33 W 9 1 340 SW 9 2511 P 10/04-02 46 0 48 35 W 9 1 314 W 9 2551 P 10/04-03 46 0 47 37 W 10 10 3 1 W10 287 W 10 2591 P 10/04-04 46 0 47 35 W 10 1 297 W 10 2703 P 10/04-05 46 0 46 34 W 10 1 306 W 10 2815 P 10/04-06 46 0 46 34 W 10 10 3 1 W 8 316 W 10 2928 P 10/04-07 46 0 47 33 W 10 1 1394 W 10 11211 P 10/04-08 46 0 51 32 W 9 1 2472 SW 9 19494 P 10/04-09 46 0 56 28 W 9 9 3 1 SW13 3550 SW 9 27778 P 10/04-10 46 0 60 25 SW 8 1 5719 SW 9 50785 F 10/04-11 46 0 63 23 SW 7 1 7889 SW 10 73792 G 10/04-12 57 20 65 22 SW 7 7 3 3 S18 10058 S 12 96799 G 10/04-13 57 20 66 21 SW 8 3 10201 S 12 100651 V 10/04-14 57 20 66 21 SW 10 3 10344 SW 12 104504 V 10/04-15 57 20 67 20 W 12 18 3 3 S17 10488 SW 12 108357 V 10/04-16 57 20 66 22 W 10 3 9980 SW 13 112424 V 10/04-17 57 20 65 24 W 9 3 9473 SW 14 116492 V 10/04-18 57 20 63 25 W 8 8 3 3 SW21 8966 SW 15 120560 V 10/04-19 57 20 59 28 W 9 3 6898 SW 16 93080 G 10/04-20 57 20 56 30 W 12 3 4829 SW 16 65600 G 10/04-21 57 20 54 31 W 13 21 3 3 SW25 2761 SW 16 38121 P 10/04-22 57 20 53 34 W 13 3 2161 SW 15 29371 P 10/04-23 57 20 52 38 SW 13 3 1562 SW 15 20621 P 10/05-00 37 0 50 42 SW 13 21 3 1 SW28 962 SW 14 11871 P 10/05-01 37 0 49 42 SW 13 1 771 SW 14 9306 P 10/05-02 37 0 48 42 SW 13 1 580 SW 13 6742 P 10/05-03 37 0 47 42 SW 13 21 3 1 S28 389 SW 13 4178 P 10/05-04 37 0 46 43 SW 13 1 373 SW 13 4009 P 10/05-05 37 0 46 45 SW 12 1 358 SW 13 3840 P 10/05-06 37 0 45 46 SW 12 18 3 1 S23 343 SW 13 3671 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...FIRE OPERATIONS REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20101001.COWCR.01/BOU