FNUS75 KGJT 011422
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DRY PARK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
822 AM MDT FRI OCT 1 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT ON OCTOBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS THE DOMINANT
WEATHER FEATURE THROUGH SATURDAY. MID-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL
GRADUALLY INCREASE FOR SOME AFTERNOON BUILD-UPS NEAR THE BURN SITE BOTH
TODAY AND ON SATURDAY...AND ISOLATED HIGH-BASED THUNDERSTORMS OVER
THE SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS. THE ATMOSPHERE SHOULD STABILIZE QUICKLY
AFTER SUNSET.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20%) UNTIL 1300...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-86 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-15%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1030...THEN
                    BECOMING WEST 5-8 MPH BY 1300.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR INCREASING TO VERY
                    GOOD BY 1500.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL AT 1200 INCREASING TO 13000 FT AGL
                    BY 1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN SHIFTING
                    TO THE NORTHWEST 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR
                    (20-30%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........38-48%
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING
                    AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....BECOMING DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (40-50%)
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5-7 MPH BY 1300.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR INCREASING TO GOOD
                    BY 1500.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......13000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST 7 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...ERIC BRANTINGHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101001.DRYPA.01/GJT