FNUS75 KSLC 021049
FWSSLC

SPOT FORECAST FOR COFFEE POT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
449 AM MDT SAT OCT 2 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...INSTABILITY AXIS THAT WAS JUST SOUTH OF THE COFFEE
POT WILDFIRE IS SHIFTING SLIGHTLY TO THE NORTH THIS MORNING.
POINTS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THIS AXIS DID SEE ISOLATED TO WIDELY
SCATTERED CONVECTION WITH SOME DRY LIGHTNING YESTERDAY...AND THAT
THREAT LOOKS TO MATERIALIZE IN THE VICINITY THIS AFTERNOON. THAT
SAID...YOU REMAIN ON THE FAR NORTHERN EXTENT OF THIS THREAT.
NOTE...CONDITIONS REMAIN QUITE DRY FOR TODAY AND COUPLED WITH A
NET DECREASE IN STABILITY THE HAINES WILL REMAIN AT MODERATE
LEVELS...ESPECIALLY DURING PEAK HEATING THIS AFTERNOON.

FIRE WEATHER CONDITINS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE SUNDAY INTO AND
THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. A STRONG PACIFIC TROUGH WILL CARVE
INTO AND EVENTUALLY STALL OVER NEVADA BY TUESDAY. MOISTURE WILL
INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH RAPIDLY AS THIS OCCURS...STARTING EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING. ALTHROUGH THE THREAT FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ON THE RISE...LOOKING FOR A GENERAL
DOWNSWING IN FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AS HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE
CLIMBING AND THE CHANCE OF WETTING RAINS WILL INCREASE.

.TODAY...
  LAL.................1 UNTIL NOON...THEN 2.
  HAINES INDEX........5 ..MODERATE.
  CLEARING INDEX......490.
  SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT CLOUD COVER)
                      UNTIL NOON...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55
                      PERCENT CLOUD COVER). A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
                      ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS AFTER NOON.
  MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-79.
  MIN HUMIDITY........12-14 PERCENT.
  WINDS - 20-FOOT.....DOWNSLOPE 4 TO 7 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST
                      5 TO 10 MPH AFTER 1200.

.TONIGHT...
  LAL.................2.
  HAINES INDEX........4 ..LOW.
  SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT CLOUD COVER). A
                      SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
  MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-58.
  MAX HUMIDITY........37-39 PERCENT.
  WINDS - 20-FOOT.....NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING DOWNSLOPE
                      4 TO 7 AFTER 2300.

.OUTLOOK FOR SUNDAY...
  LAL.................2 UNTIL NOON...THEN 4.
  HAINES INDEX........4 ..LOW.
  CLEARING INDEX......1000+.
  SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT CLOUD COVER)
                      THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT
                      CLOUD COVER). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                      THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE
                      OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                      AFTERNOON.
  MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-66.
  MIN HUMIDITY........25-27 PERCENT.
  WINDS - 20-FOOT.....DOWNSLOPE 4 TO 7 MPH BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.



FORECASTER...MERRILL
REQUESTED BY...OMAN - FEMO
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20101001.COFFE.01/SLC

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