FNUS75 KBOU 031014 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR COW CREEK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 409 AM MDT SUN OCT 3 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...MOISTURE WILL BE LESS TODAY HOWEVER STILL CAN NOT RULE OUT A HIGH BASED STORM AFTER 1500 BUT LITTLE RAINFALL WILL OCCUR. EXPECT SOME HIGH BASED CUMULUS COULDS WILL DEVELOP BY 1200 WITH 30% CLOUD COVER BY 1400...MAX CLOUD COVER WILL PROBABLY BE IN THE 40-50 % RANGE BETWEEN 1500 AND 1800. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 0900...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1500. MAX TEMPERATURE.....66. MIN HUMIDITY........25%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5-6 MPH UNTIL 1200. SOUTHEAST 7-11 MPH AFTER 1500. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 9400-10400 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1400...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100. MIN TEMPERATURE.....48. MAX HUMIDITY........37%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7600 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....69. MIN HUMIDITY........24%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 10400-11400 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1700...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. EAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR COW CREEK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/03-04 15 0 38 51 W 8 1 195 W 9 1515 P 10/03-05 15 0 37 50 W 7 1 190 NW 7 1206 P 10/03-06 15 0 37 49 W 6 6 4 1 N15 185 NW 6 897 P 10/03-07 15 0 38 46 NW 5 1 276 NW 6 1223 P 10/03-08 15 0 41 43 NW 5 1 367 NW 5 1550 P 10/03-09 30 0 45 38 NW 5 5 3 1 N15 458 NW 5 1876 P 10/03-10 30 0 50 32 NW 5 1 3447 NW 6 20825 P 10/03-11 30 0 56 27 N 6 1 6436 N 7 39774 P 10/03-12 41 0 61 23 N 7 7 3 1 N 8 9425 N 7 58724 F 10/03-13 41 0 61 24 NE 7 1 9966 N 6 48597 F 10/03-14 41 10 61 25 E 8 2 10506 NW 5 38471 P 10/03-15 41 10 61 26 E 8 13 3 2 NW10 11047 NW 3 28344 P 10/03-16 41 10 61 26 E 8 2 9919 W 3 29435 P 10/03-17 41 10 61 27 SE 9 2 8791 SW 5 30527 P 10/03-18 41 10 59 29 SE 9 15 3 2 W14 7663 SW 5 31618 P 10/03-19 41 10 57 32 S 9 2 5593 SW 6 24734 P 10/03-20 41 10 55 33 S 8 2 3524 S 7 17850 P 10/03-21 27 0 54 33 S 8 13 3 1 NW10 1455 S 9 10967 P 10/03-22 27 0 53 34 SW 8 1 1082 SW 8 8020 P 10/03-23 27 0 52 33 SW 7 1 709 SW 8 5073 P 10/04-00 43 0 51 34 W 7 7 3 1 NW 5 336 SW 7 2126 P 10/04-01 43 0 50 33 W 7 1 311 SW 8 2070 P 10/04-02 43 0 50 32 W 8 1 285 W 8 2015 P 10/04-03 43 0 49 32 W 8 13 3 1 S 3 259 W 9 1959 P 10/04-04 43 0 49 32 W 8 1 275 W 9 2123 P 10/04-05 43 0 48 33 W 9 1 292 W 9 2286 P 10/04-06 43 0 48 35 W 9 15 3 1 SW 9 308 W 9 2450 P 10/04-07 43 0 49 37 W 9 1 1985 W 9 16150 P 10/04-08 43 0 53 35 W 8 1 3663 SW 9 29850 P 10/04-09 43 0 58 34 W 8 13 4 1 SW13 5340 SW 9 43551 F 10/04-10 43 0 62 30 SW 8 1 7182 SW 10 71874 G 10/04-11 43 0 64 27 SW 9 1 9024 S 13 100197 V 10/04-12 73 20 66 25 SW 9 9 3 3 S21 10866 S 14 128521 V 10/04-13 73 20 67 25 SW 9 3 11105 S 15 141972 V 10/04-14 73 20 68 25 SW 10 3 11343 SW 16 155422 E 10/04-15 73 20 68 24 SW 10 10 3 3 SW24 11581 SW 17 168873 E 10/04-16 73 20 68 25 SW 10 3 11056 SW 15 148901 V 10/04-17 73 20 66 25 W 9 3 10531 SW 14 128928 V 10/04-18 73 20 65 26 W 8 8 3 3 SW22 10005 SW 13 108956 V 10/04-19 73 20 60 30 W 7 3 7863 SW 10 78530 G 10/04-20 73 20 57 34 SW 6 3 5722 S 8 48105 F 10/04-21 73 20 55 36 SW 6 6 3 3 S18 3580 S 6 17679 P 10/04-22 73 20 53 39 SW 6 3 2673 S 6 13309 P 10/04-23 73 20 52 40 SW 7 3 1766 SW 6 8939 P 10/05-00 62 10 50 43 SW 7 7 2 2 S18 860 SW 6 4569 P 10/05-01 62 10 49 45 SW 7 2 690 SW 6 3550 P 10/05-02 62 10 48 48 SW 6 2 521 SW 6 2531 P 10/05-03 62 10 47 51 SW 6 6 3 2 S18 351 S 5 1512 P 10/05-04 62 10 46 51 SW 7 2 384 SW 6 2151 P 10/05-05 62 10 46 50 SW 8 2 416 SW 8 2790 P 10/05-06 62 10 45 51 W 9 9 2 2 S21 449 W 9 3429 P 10/05-07 62 10 47 50 W 9 2 1731 W 8 11334 P 10/05-08 62 10 50 46 W 9 2 3013 W 8 19239 P 10/05-09 62 10 55 40 W 8 8 3 2 S22 4295 W 7 27144 P 10/05-10 62 10 59 34 W 7 2 6056 SW 8 44984 F 10/05-11 62 10 62 31 W 6 2 7817 SW 9 62823 G 10/05-12 62 20 63 29 W 5 5 2 3 S25 9578 SW 9 80663 G 10/05-13 62 20 64 27 SW 3 3 10022 SW 9 74414 G 10/05-14 62 20 65 27 S 2 3 10466 SW 8 68166 G 10/05-15 62 20 66 26 S 2 2 2 3 SW18 10911 SW 7 61917 G 10/05-16 62 20 65 26 SE 3 3 10622 SW 6 49522 F 10/05-17 62 20 64 27 E 3 3 10333 SW 5 37126 P 10/05-18 62 20 62 29 E 5 5 2 3 SW15 10045 SW 2 24730 P 10/05-19 62 20 59 33 SE 3 3 8013 SW 2 18675 P 10/05-20 62 20 55 37 SW 3 3 5982 S 2 12619 P 10/05-21 62 20 54 39 W 2 2 2 3 S 3 3951 SE 2 6564 P 10/05-22 62 20 52 41 W 2 3 3310 E 2 6332 P 10/05-23 62 20 51 43 NW 3 3 2669 NE 2 6100 P 10/06-00 43 0 49 46 N 5 5 2 1 S 9 2027 N 3 5868 P 10/06-01 43 0 48 47 N 6 1 1560 N 5 5153 P 10/06-02 43 0 47 49 N 6 1 1093 N 6 4439 P 10/06-03 43 0 47 51 N 7 7 2 1 S 6 626 N 7 3724 P 10/06-04 43 0 46 52 N 7 1 523 NE 7 3140 P 10/06-05 43 0 46 53 NE 7 1 419 NE 7 2556 P 10/06-06 43 0 45 53 NE 7 7 2 1 E 8 316 NE 7 1972 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...FIRE OPERATIONS REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20101002.COWCR.01/BOU