FNUS75 KPUB 021333
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR RANGE 143 - 155...FORT CARSON FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
733 AM MDT SAT OCT 2 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

MUCH COOLER AND MORE MOIST TODAY AS EASTERLY SURFACE FLOW
CONTINUES ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY ARE
EXPECTED TO BE 10-15 DEGREES COOLER AS COMPARED TO FRIDAY...WITH
HUMIDITY LEVELS ONLY DROPPING DOWN INTO THE MID 30% RANGE. THE
INCREASED MOISTURE MEANS THERE IS AN ISOLATED CHANCE FOR A
THUNDERSTORM TO DEVELOP NEAR THE BURN SITE LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR
EARLY EVENING...AND ANY STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL OF PRODUCING GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS UP TO 45 MPH AND
LIGHTNING.

WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO RETURN ON SUNDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THIS MORNING...BECOMING PARTLY
                    SUNNY (50 PERCENT) BY 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71F.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 2-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    SOUTHEAST 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 0800...THEN
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 11 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700...THEN FAIR BY 1100.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46F.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTH-NORTHWEST 3-5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......EAST AROUND 4 MPH UNTIL 0200...THEN WEST AROUND
                    5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (29 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81F.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-21 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    EAST-SOUTHEAST 10-13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 10500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. GOOD AFTER 1700.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...MOORE
REQUESTED BY...PETER WOLF
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101002.RANGE.01/PUB