FNUS75 KABQ 031652
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR PETACA LAS TABLAS RX...TAOS DISPATCH CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1052 AM MDT SUN OCT 3 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...UPPER RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE REGION...ALTHOUGH
IT HAS BECOME INCREASINGLY PINCHED BETWEEN A LARGE UPPER LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM TO OUR WEST AND ALSO OVER THE MIDWEST AND EASTERN U.S.  THE
RIDGE WILL BREAK DOWN MORE ON MONDAY AS PORTIONS OF THE SYSTEM TO
OUR WEST EJECT ACROSS ARIZONA AND WESTERN NEW MEXICO. DECENT POTENTIAL
FOR WETTING RAINS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN THE FORM
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS..AND RH RECOVERIES SHOULD BE GOOD
TONIGHT. MOUNTAIN TOP WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST
AND WEST BY MONDAY BUT MIXING HEIGHTS WILL BE MARGINAL...LEADING TO
ONLY FAIR VENTILATION. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS EXPECTED AGAIN
MONDAY.

FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 1045 MDT 10/3/10
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                       AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING...THEN
                       SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......50 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 61-65.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 43-48 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS THAN 8 MPH BECOMING
                       SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                       AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 14 KNOTS.
   VENTILATION CAT.....VERY GOOD/119000 KNOT-FT.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT
                       CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                       MIDNIGHT.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 43-47.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 75-80 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH IN THE EVENING
                       BECOMING TERRAIN DOMINATED THEREAFTER.
                       GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS.

FOR MONDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 61-65.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 41-46 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS THAN 8 MPH BECOMING
                       SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                       AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 8 KNOTS.
   VENTILATION CAT.....FAIR/40000 KNOT-FT.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

$$

REQUESTED BY...TDC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101003.PETAC.02/ABQ