FNUS75 KBOI 031630
FWSBOI

SPOT FORECAST FOR 5 CREEKS RX...BURNS BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
1030 AM MDT SUN OCT 3 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0915 PDT ON OCTOBER 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...WET THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH ADDITIONAL RAIN MONDAY...

.DISCUSSION...MOIST SOUTHEAST FLOW THIS MORNING WILL BRING RAIN SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. IN FACT THERE ARE ALREADY SOME LIGHTNING STRIKES THIS MORNING
SOUTH OF LITTLE MCCOY CREEK RAWS. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THIS EVENING AROUND
SUNSET FOR ADDITIONAL LIFT AND INSTABILITY...WITH YET ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS MID MORNING MONDAY. AT LEAST 2 DISTINCT PERIODS OF ABOUT A
TENTH OF AN INCH PRECIPITATION ARE POSSIBLE FOR A WETTING RAIN OF UP TO A QUARTER
INCH TOTAL THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.


.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63 TO 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 TO 41 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...975 EXCELLENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41 TO 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........81 TO 90 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...90 POOR.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50 TO 55.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 TO 60 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....WEST 7 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...675 GOOD.

$$
FORECASTER...DECKER
REQUESTED BY...CODY MCCONNELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101003.5CREE.01/BOI