FNUS75 KBOU 041011 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR COW CREEK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 403 AM MDT MON OCT 4 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE IN SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THIS MAY ALLOW FOR A BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 WITH SOME LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL POSSIBLE. CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE TO 50% BY 1000 AND THEN BECOME 80% BY 1200. WINDS SHOULD GENERALLY BE SOUTHWEST AT SPEEDS OF 7-12 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS TO 30 MPH NEAR ANY SHOWER OR STORM. ...PLEASE NOTE DETAILED HOURLY DATA FOR TEMPERATURE...WIND... HUMIDITY AND OTHER PARAMETERS ARE AVAILABLE AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS SPOT FORECAST... ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....66. MIN HUMIDITY........26%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 9400-10400 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. VERY GOOD AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....45. MAX HUMIDITY........48%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....68. MIN HUMIDITY........24%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-7 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTHEAST 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 10200-11200 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. WEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR COW CREEK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/04-04 43 0 53 26 W 9 1 427 W 9 3359 P 10/04-05 43 0 53 27 W 8 1 473 W 9 3751 P 10/04-06 43 0 53 27 W 8 13 3 1 SW 9 519 W 9 4143 P 10/04-07 43 0 53 28 W 8 1 1334 W 9 11665 P 10/04-08 43 0 54 28 W 7 1 2150 SW 10 19188 P 10/04-09 43 0 56 29 W 7 7 3 1 SW10 2966 SW 10 26710 P 10/04-10 43 0 58 28 SW 7 1 5276 SW 12 52801 F 10/04-11 43 0 61 27 SW 7 1 7585 SW 12 78893 G 10/04-12 73 26 63 27 SW 7 7 3 4 S17 9895 SW 13 104984 V 10/04-13 73 26 64 26 SW 8 4 10117 SW 13 112531 V 10/04-14 73 26 65 26 SW 9 4 10339 SW 14 120078 V 10/04-15 73 26 66 26 SW 10 16 3 4 S18 10562 SW 14 127626 V 10/04-16 73 26 66 26 SW 12 4 9794 SW 14 114921 V 10/04-17 73 26 65 27 W 12 4 9027 SW 13 102217 V 10/04-18 61 20 63 29 W 13 21 3 3 S17 8260 SW 13 89512 G 10/04-19 61 20 59 33 W 13 3 6149 SW 12 65776 G 10/04-20 61 20 56 37 W 13 3 4039 SW 12 42039 F 10/04-21 61 20 54 38 W 12 18 3 3 SW16 1928 SW 10 18302 P 10/04-22 61 20 53 40 SW 10 3 1482 SW 10 13554 P 10/04-23 61 20 52 40 SW 10 3 1036 SW 9 8806 P 10/05-00 57 10 50 42 SW 9 15 3 1 SW16 591 SW 8 4058 P 10/05-01 57 10 49 43 SW 9 1 483 SW 8 3317 P 10/05-02 57 10 48 44 SW 9 1 376 SW 8 2575 P 10/05-03 57 10 47 45 SW 8 14 3 1 SW14 268 SW 8 1834 P 10/05-04 57 10 47 46 SW 8 1 256 SW 7 1663 P 10/05-05 57 10 46 47 SW 8 1 244 SW 7 1491 P 10/05-06 75 0 46 48 SW 7 7 3 1 S17 232 SW 7 1320 P 10/05-07 75 0 47 48 SW 6 1 1336 SW 7 7545 P 10/05-08 75 0 51 43 S 5 1 2439 S 7 13770 P 10/05-09 75 0 56 38 S 3 3 3 1 S21 3542 S 7 19995 P 10/05-10 75 0 61 32 S 5 1 5736 S 8 46283 F 10/05-11 75 0 63 29 SE 6 1 7929 S 9 72570 G 10/05-12 68 20 65 27 SE 7 7 2 3 S23 10122 S 12 98857 G 10/05-13 68 20 66 25 SE 8 3 10458 S 9 86816 G 10/05-14 68 20 67 25 E 9 3 10794 S 8 74775 G 10/05-15 68 20 68 24 E 9 9 2 3 SW22 11131 S 7 62734 G 10/05-16 68 20 67 24 E 8 3 10592 S 7 61823 G 10/05-17 68 20 66 25 SE 6 3 10054 SE 7 60911 G 10/05-18 68 20 64 26 SE 5 5 2 3 S10 9515 SE 7 59999 F 10/05-19 68 20 60 31 SE 5 3 7592 SE 8 50052 F 10/05-20 68 20 56 35 SE 5 3 5669 E 8 40105 F 10/05-21 68 20 55 37 SE 6 6 2 3 SE15 3746 E 9 30158 P 10/05-22 68 20 53 40 E 7 3 3098 E 9 25739 P 10/05-23 68 20 52 41 E 7 3 2449 E 10 21321 P 10/06-00 68 10 50 44 NE 8 8 2 2 S21 1801 E 10 16902 P 10/06-01 68 10 49 49 NE 8 2 1420 E 10 12827 P 10/06-02 68 10 48 54 NE 8 2 1040 E 9 8752 P 10/06-03 68 10 47 57 NE 9 9 2 2 S24 660 E 8 4677 P 10/06-04 68 10 46 57 NE 12 2 953 E 12 10567 P 10/06-05 68 10 46 55 NE 14 2 1246 E 14 16457 P 10/06-06 68 10 45 54 NE 15 24 2 2 S24 1539 NE 17 22347 P 10/06-07 68 10 47 55 NE 15 2 2212 E 17 33095 P 10/06-08 68 10 48 57 E 14 2 2885 E 17 43842 F 10/06-09 68 10 51 54 E 13 21 2 2 S22 3559 E 17 54590 F 10/06-10 68 10 54 49 E 13 2 4030 SE 18 66385 G 10/06-11 68 10 56 45 SE 13 2 4502 SE 20 78180 G 10/06-12 68 20 57 42 SE 13 21 2 3 S25 4974 SE 21 89975 G 10/06-13 68 20 58 40 SE 14 3 4769 S 21 85022 G 10/06-14 68 20 58 39 SE 14 3 4565 S 21 80070 G 10/06-15 68 20 58 39 S 15 24 3 3 SW25 4360 S 20 75118 G 10/06-16 68 20 58 42 S 15 3 4048 S 20 67927 G 10/06-17 68 20 57 47 S 15 3 3735 S 18 60736 G 10/06-18 68 20 56 53 S 15 24 3 3 SW23 3423 S 18 53546 F 10/06-19 68 20 52 60 S 15 3 2671 S 18 42325 F 10/06-20 68 20 50 66 S 16 3 1920 S 20 31104 P 10/06-21 68 20 49 68 S 16 25 3 3 S 8 1168 S 20 19883 P 10/06-22 68 20 47 69 S 16 3 939 S 18 15469 P 10/06-23 68 20 46 68 S 15 3 711 S 17 11054 P 10/07-00 57 10 45 68 S 15 24 3 2 S15 482 S 16 6640 P 10/07-01 57 10 44 67 S 15 2 415 S 15 5604 P 10/07-02 57 10 43 66 SW 15 2 347 SW 15 4569 P 10/07-03 57 10 43 65 SW 14 22 2 2 S20 280 SW 15 3533 P 10/07-04 57 10 42 64 SW 13 2 260 SW 13 2970 P 10/07-05 57 10 42 63 SW 10 2 239 SW 12 2407 P 10/07-06 57 10 42 63 SW 9 9 2 2 S23 219 SW 9 1845 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ALEX VIKTORA REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20101003.COWCR.01/BOU