FNAK79 PAFG 011709
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE CHENA...FAIRBANKS AREA FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
909 AM AKDT FRI OCT 1 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 AKDT ON OCTOBER 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE AIR FLOW TO THE FIRE AREA ORIGINATES IN THE GULF OF ALASKA.
SINCE THIS TRAJECTORY INVOLVES CROSSING MOUNTAIN RANGES...MUCH OF
THE MOISTURE WILL BE WRUNG OUT OF THE AIR BEFORE IT REACHES THE FIRE
AREA. THE RESULT WILL BE MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH SOME POTENTIAL
FOR PRECIPITATION OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...BUT THE LIKELIHOOD OF
TRULY WETTING PRECIPITATION IS COMPARATIVELY LOW. WINDS WILL GENERALLY
BE FROM THE NORTHEAST...BUT WIND SPEEDS WILL BE RATHER LIGHT. GIVEN
THE WEAKER INFLUENCE OF THE SUN AT THIS TIME OF YEAR...MIXING HEIGHTS
WILL NOT BE ABLE TO EXTEND HIGHER THAN ABOUT 1500 FT IN THE AFTERNOONS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 15 TO 20 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) WITH SCATTERED RAIN
    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. PARTLY CLOUDY (50 TO 60 PERCENT)
    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 1500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. EAST
WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
.MONDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.
LIGHT WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...AYCOCK
REQUESTED BY...SCHMOLL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101004.LITTL.01/AFG