FNUS75 KBOU 041802 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR CHURCHES PARK WF...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1200 PM MDT MON OCT 4 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON WHICH SHOULD ALLOW FOR A BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT...ALTHOUGH A FEW OF THE STORMS COULD PRODUCE MODERATE RAINFALL. WESTERLY WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THIS EVENING...BUT COULD BE GUSTY NEAR ANY SHOWER OR STORM. THE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL END BY MIDNIGHT WITH GRADUAL CLEARING SKIES. ON TUESDAY...THE AIRMASS WILL BE ONLY SLIGHTLY UNSTABLE...WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. TYPICAL DIURNAL WINDS WILL PREVAIL TUESDAY...WITH UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY FLOW DEVELOPING BY NOON. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY NEAR ANY STORM. ...PLEASE NOTE DETAILED HOURLY DATA FOR TEMPERATURE...WIND... HUMIDITY AND OTHER PARAMETERS ARE AVAILABLE AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS SPOT FORECAST... ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67. MIN HUMIDITY........22-27%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. SOME GUSTS TO 35 MPH POSSIBLE NEAR THE STORMS. LAL.................4. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8600-9600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45. MAX HUMIDITY........48-53%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7-13 MPH UNTIL 2200...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-8 MPH. SOME GUSTS TO 35 MPH POSSIBLE NEAR THE STORMS. LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....67. MIN HUMIDITY........26%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. SOME GUSTS TO 35 MPH POSSIBLE NEAR THE STORMS. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 10400-11400 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. GOOD AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR CHURCHES PARK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/04-11 50 10 55 38 W 6 1 5873 SW 10 61387 G 10/04-12 73 26 58 36 W 6 6 3 4 S17 8346 SW 13 90139 G 10/04-13 73 26 60 35 W 6 4 8807 SW 13 96115 G 10/04-14 73 26 61 34 W 7 4 9269 SW 13 102091 V 10/04-15 73 26 62 33 W 7 7 3 4 SW14 9730 SW 13 108067 V 10/04-16 73 26 61 34 W 8 4 9180 SW 13 100563 V 10/04-17 73 26 60 34 W 8 4 8631 SW 13 93058 G 10/04-18 63 20 59 36 W 8 13 3 3 SW13 8081 SW 13 85553 G 10/04-19 63 20 55 40 W 8 3 5778 SW 10 59564 F 10/04-20 63 20 52 43 SW 7 3 3476 SW 9 33575 P 10/04-21 63 20 50 44 SW 7 7 3 3 SW15 1173 SW 7 7586 P 10/04-22 63 20 49 46 SW 6 3 900 SW 6 5468 P 10/04-23 63 20 48 46 S 5 3 627 SW 5 3350 P 10/05-00 59 10 46 48 S 5 5 3 1 SW17 353 S 3 1233 P 10/05-01 59 10 45 50 S 5 1 325 S 5 1163 P 10/05-02 59 10 44 52 S 5 1 297 S 5 1094 P 10/05-03 59 10 43 54 S 5 5 3 1 SW16 269 S 5 1025 P 10/05-04 59 10 43 56 S 6 1 258 S 5 979 P 10/05-05 59 10 42 57 SE 5 1 247 SE 5 932 P 10/05-06 75 0 42 59 SE 5 5 3 1 S20 236 SE 5 886 P 10/05-07 75 0 43 57 SE 3 1 1331 S 5 5637 P 10/05-08 75 0 48 50 SE 2 1 2427 S 5 10389 P 10/05-09 75 0 53 41 CALM 1 3 1 S21 3522 S 5 15140 P 10/05-10 75 0 59 35 CALM 1 5857 S 7 41128 F 10/05-11 75 0 61 33 CALM 1 8192 S 8 67117 G 10/05-12 73 20 63 31 W 2 2 2 3 S24 10526 S 10 93105 G 10/05-13 73 20 65 30 NW 2 3 10880 S 9 86957 G 10/05-14 73 20 65 28 N 3 3 11233 S 8 80810 G 10/05-15 73 20 66 26 NE 3 3 3 3 S22 11586 SE 7 74662 G 10/05-16 73 20 65 26 N 3 3 10888 SE 8 75320 G 10/05-17 73 20 64 26 W 3 3 10191 SE 9 75978 G 10/05-18 73 20 63 26 W 3 3 2 3 S18 9493 SE 9 76636 G 10/05-19 73 20 59 29 W 3 3 7939 SE 8 61270 G 10/05-20 73 20 55 33 N 3 3 6385 E 8 45904 F 10/05-21 73 20 54 35 NE 3 3 2 3 S16 4831 E 7 30538 P 10/05-22 73 20 52 37 NE 3 3 3742 E 7 22979 P 10/05-23 73 20 51 38 E 5 3 2653 E 6 15420 P 10/06-00 68 10 49 41 E 5 5 3 2 S16 1564 E 6 7862 P 10/06-01 68 10 48 45 E 6 2 1200 E 6 6198 P 10/06-02 68 10 47 49 SE 6 2 837 E 7 4534 P 10/06-03 68 10 46 53 SE 7 7 3 2 S18 473 E 7 2871 P 10/06-04 68 10 45 56 SE 8 2 516 E 8 3766 P 10/06-05 68 10 45 57 SE 8 2 559 E 9 4661 P 10/06-06 68 10 45 58 SE 9 9 3 2 S20 602 E 10 5556 P 10/06-07 68 10 46 56 E 9 2 1626 E 13 19945 P 10/06-08 68 10 48 53 E 10 2 2650 SE 14 34333 P 10/06-09 68 10 51 47 E 10 10 2 2 S23 3673 SE 15 48721 F 10/06-10 68 10 54 44 E 10 2 4388 SE 16 64872 G 10/06-11 68 10 56 44 E 12 2 5103 SE 18 81022 G 10/06-12 73 20 57 43 E 12 18 3 3 S31 5818 SE 20 97172 G 10/06-13 73 20 58 42 E 12 3 6047 S 18 99322 G 10/06-14 73 20 58 40 SE 12 3 6277 S 18 101471 V 10/06-15 73 20 59 39 SE 12 18 2 3 SW32 6506 S 18 103620 V 10/06-16 73 20 58 41 SE 12 3 6513 S 18 102649 V 10/06-17 73 20 57 43 SE 12 3 6519 S 18 101677 V 10/06-18 73 20 56 47 SE 12 18 2 3 SW26 6526 S 17 100705 V 10/06-19 73 20 53 52 SE 12 3 4732 S 17 72993 G 10/06-20 73 20 51 57 SE 13 3 2939 S 17 45280 F 10/06-21 73 20 49 59 SE 13 21 3 3 SW16 1145 S 17 17567 P 10/06-22 73 20 48 62 SE 13 3 991 S 17 15028 P 10/06-23 73 20 47 62 S 13 3 836 S 17 12489 P 10/07-00 58 10 46 63 S 13 21 3 2 S14 682 S 17 9951 P 10/07-01 58 10 45 63 S 12 2 643 S 15 8577 P 10/07-02 58 10 44 62 S 10 2 604 S 14 7202 P 10/07-03 58 10 44 61 S 9 9 2 2 S15 565 S 12 5828 P 10/07-04 58 10 43 60 S 8 2 547 S 10 4965 P 10/07-05 58 10 43 58 S 8 2 528 S 9 4103 P 10/07-06 58 10 43 58 S 7 7 2 2 S24 510 S 7 3240 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...LESZCYNSKI...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...LARRY KLOCK REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20101004.CHURC.01/BOU