FNUS75 KBOU 050213 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR CHURCHES PARK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 813 PM MDT MON OCT 4 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AFTER THE CURRENT BATCH OF LIGHT SPRINKLES OVER THE FIRE...CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND OR THUNDERSTORMS IS PRETTY NIL FOR THE REST OF THE EVENING AS WE LOSE SOLAR HEATING. SKIES WILL CLEAR AND ALLOW HUMIDITIES TO RECOVER INTO THE 50 PERCENT RANGE. ON TUESDAY...THE WEATHER WILL BE SIMILAR TO TODAYS EXCEPT A LITTLE LESS WIND. THE AIRMASS WILL BE ONLY SLIGHTLY UNSTABLE...STILL WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS BUT SHOULD SEE LESS ACTIVITY THAN TODAYS. TYPICAL DIURNAL WINDS WILL PREVAIL TUESDAY...WITH UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY FLOW DEVELOPING BY NOON. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY NEAR ANY STORM. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2100...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL 2100...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....41. MAX HUMIDITY........53%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL UNTIL 2100. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1500...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....61. MIN HUMIDITY........32%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN NORTHEAST 5-6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 11000-12000 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. GOOD AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....43. MAX HUMIDITY........63%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5-6 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN SOUTHEAST 5-6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9800 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 0200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....59. MIN HUMIDITY........47%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 6200-7200 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. VERY GOOD AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR CHURCHES PARK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/04-20 61 26 52 43 SW 7 4 3853 SW 12 51698 F 10/04-21 48 10 50 45 SW 7 7 3 2 SW24 1357 SW 8 9823 P 10/04-22 48 10 49 46 SW 6 2 1024 SW 7 6967 P 10/04-23 48 10 47 48 S 6 2 690 S 6 4112 P 10/05-00 28 2 46 50 S 5 5 3 1 SW22 356 S 5 1257 P 10/05-01 28 2 45 51 S 5 1 326 S 5 1157 P 10/05-02 28 2 44 51 S 5 1 296 S 5 1057 P 10/05-03 28 2 43 52 S 5 5 3 1 SW24 266 S 5 957 P 10/05-04 28 2 43 52 S 5 1 277 S 3 939 P 10/05-05 28 2 42 52 S 5 1 288 S 3 922 P 10/05-06 31 0 42 53 SE 5 5 3 1 SW20 300 S 3 904 P 10/05-07 31 0 43 52 SE 3 1 1853 S 5 9762 P 10/05-08 31 0 48 46 SE 2 1 3406 S 6 18621 P 10/05-09 46 0 53 39 CALM 1 3 1 S18 4959 S 7 27479 P 10/05-10 46 0 59 33 CALM 1 6858 S 8 49515 F 10/05-11 46 0 61 32 CALM 1 8757 S 9 71551 G 10/05-12 73 20 61 33 W 2 2 3 3 SW21 10656 S 10 93588 G 10/05-13 73 20 61 33 NW 2 3 11260 S 9 84396 G 10/05-14 73 20 61 33 N 3 3 11865 S 7 75204 G 10/05-15 73 30 61 33 NE 3 3 3 4 S17 12469 S 6 66012 G 10/05-16 73 30 61 34 NE 5 4 11611 S 8 75644 G 10/05-17 73 30 61 35 NE 6 4 10753 SE 9 85277 G 10/05-18 72 22 63 34 NE 6 6 3 3 S16 9894 SE 12 94910 G 10/05-19 72 22 58 41 E 6 3 7626 SE 8 65717 G 10/05-20 72 22 55 44 S 5 3 5357 SE 6 36525 P 10/05-21 72 22 53 46 S 3 3 2 3 SE22 3088 S 2 7332 P 10/05-22 72 22 51 49 S 2 3 2502 SE 3 6889 P 10/05-23 72 22 50 50 SE 2 3 1915 E 5 6445 P 10/06-00 70 12 48 52 SE 2 2 3 1 S18 1329 E 6 6002 P 10/06-01 70 12 47 55 SE 2 1 1012 E 5 4530 P 10/06-02 70 12 46 59 SE 3 1 696 SE 5 3058 P 10/06-03 70 12 45 62 S 5 5 3 1 S30 379 SE 5 1586 P 10/06-04 70 12 44 63 SE 5 1 336 SE 6 1563 P 10/06-05 70 12 44 62 SE 6 1 293 SE 6 1540 P 10/06-06 70 12 43 62 SE 6 6 2 1 S30 250 SE 7 1516 P 10/06-07 70 12 43 63 SE 6 1 418 SE 8 3097 P 10/06-08 70 12 45 63 SE 6 1 586 SE 9 4678 P 10/06-09 70 12 47 62 SE 6 6 2 1 S25 754 E 9 6258 P 10/06-10 70 12 50 57 SE 7 1 2450 SE 13 34191 P 10/06-11 70 12 53 53 SE 7 1 4146 SE 15 62125 G 10/06-12 67 20 55 51 SE 8 8 2 3 S23 5842 SE 17 90058 G 10/06-13 67 20 57 49 SE 9 3 6458 S 18 100734 V 10/06-14 67 20 58 48 SE 9 3 7075 S 18 111411 V 10/06-15 67 20 59 47 S 9 9 2 3 SW26 7691 S 18 122087 V 10/06-16 67 20 59 47 SE 9 3 6799 S 18 107655 V 10/06-17 67 20 58 49 SE 8 3 5908 S 18 93223 G 10/06-18 67 20 56 52 SE 8 8 2 3 SW14 5016 S 18 78791 G 10/06-19 67 20 52 60 SE 9 3 3675 SE 17 57400 F 10/06-20 67 20 50 66 SE 10 3 2335 SE 17 36009 P 10/06-21 67 20 48 69 SE 10 10 3 3 S15 994 SE 17 14617 P 10/06-22 67 20 47 73 SE 9 3 784 SE 14 10564 P 10/06-23 67 20 46 75 SE 8 3 574 SE 10 6511 P 10/07-00 70 13 45 76 SE 6 6 2 1 S25 363 S 8 2458 P 10/07-01 70 13 44 75 SE 5 1 355 S 7 2125 P 10/07-02 70 13 43 74 S 3 1 346 S 6 1792 P 10/07-03 70 13 42 72 S 3 3 2 1 SW31 337 S 5 1459 P 10/07-04 70 13 42 71 S 3 1 344 S 5 1335 P 10/07-05 70 13 41 69 S 3 1 351 S 3 1212 P 10/07-06 70 13 41 68 SE 3 3 2 1 SW32 358 SE 3 1088 P 10/07-07 70 13 41 68 SE 2 1 467 SE 2 1037 P 10/07-08 70 13 43 65 SE 2 1 576 SE 2 986 P 10/07-09 70 13 46 59 CALM 1 2 1 SW28 685 CALM 935 P 10/07-10 70 13 51 49 CALM 1 2914 S 3 17502 P 10/07-11 70 13 55 42 CALM 1 5142 S 6 34068 P 10/07-12 62 20 58 38 CALM 1 3 3 SW28 7371 S 8 50635 F 10/07-13 62 20 61 34 CALM 3 8796 S 9 69768 G 10/07-14 62 20 63 32 E 2 3 10220 S 9 88901 G 10/07-15 62 20 64 30 SE 2 2 3 3 S24 11645 S 10 108034 V 10/07-16 62 20 64 31 SE 3 3 10276 S 9 85425 G 10/07-17 62 20 63 33 E 3 3 8907 S 8 62816 G 10/07-18 62 20 61 36 E 5 5 3 3 S17 7538 S 6 40207 F KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...RUSSELL DAWDY REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20101004.CHURC.02/BOU