FNUS75 KFGZ 041259
FWSFGZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOBBLE WILDFIRE...AZ-KNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
559 AM MST MON OCT 4 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON OCTOBER 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SOUTHERLY FLOW CONTINUES TO BRING MOISTURE
NORTHWARD AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING WEST COAST TROUGH. THIS WILL
BRING AN INCREASING CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TUESDAY.
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE AS THIS SYSTEM APPROACHES...WITH
WINDS LIKELY TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. ANY THUNDERSTORMS
THAT AFFECT THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL
TO PRODUCE WIND GUSTS OVER 40 MPH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64 TO 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 TO 41 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH...INCREASING TO
                    13 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT (165100 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42 TO 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........NEAR 100 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (4400 KNOT-FT).

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59 TO 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 TO 50 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    35 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT (151500 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...JOHNDROW
REQUESTED BY...AZ-WDC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101004.HOBBL.01/FGZ