FNUS75 KGJT 040333
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WAPA RX...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
933 PM MDT SUN OCT 3 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT ON OCTOBER 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER RIDGE SHIFTS EAST OVERNIGHT. MOISTURE INCREASES WITH
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. WINDS ALOFT INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY
MONDAY AS THE GRADIENT TIGHTENS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY AND TRANSLATE STRONGER GUSTY WINDS TO THE
SURFACE. AN ISOLATED STORM IN THE MORNING COULD BRING ERRATIC
WINDS AND RAINFALL TO THE FIRE AREA. PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION
IS 30 PERCENT WHILE WETTING RAIN IS 10 TO 15 PERCENT WITH BETTER
CHANCES IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING. SCATTERED SHOWERS THROUGH THE
                    NIGHT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........62-67%.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS THROUGH THE
                    DAY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH BY 1100 THEN 9 TO 13 MPH
                    AFTER 1200. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 900 THEN TURNING FAIR. INCREASING TO
                    VERY GOOD AFTER 1200.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...AS
REQUESTED BY...DAN HUISJEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101004.WAPAR.01/GJT