FNUS73 KPAH 041342 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR TRIGG...SHAWNEE NATIONAL FOREST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 842 AM CDT MON OCT 4 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON OCTOBER 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE REGION THROUGH THE WORK WEEK. AS A RESULT...VERY DRY CONDITIONS AND LIGHT NORTH WINDS WILL BE THE RULE. THE LONE EXCEPTION WILL BE WEDNESDAY WHEN A LIGHT WEST WIND MAY DEVELOP AHEAD OF A WEAK COLD FRONT TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. DUE TO THE VERY DRY AIR AND FUELS...FIRE DANGER WILL CONTINUE TO BE ELEVATED...BUT WINDS WILL BE WELL BELOW WARNING LEVELS THROUGH THE WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........54 AT IGNITION...MAX 64. RH..................45 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 29 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6300-6400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 0 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHEAST 12 TO 21 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............54 58 61 62 63 63 61 58 RH..............45 39 36 35 34 34 35 39 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...5.8 5.7 5.6 5.9 6.2 6.3 6.4 6.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N NE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.21 20 17 18 18 16 12 5 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 36. RH..................MAX 84 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-5700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-2400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV..... PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE FROST FROST FROST TEMP............53 46 43 41 39 38 RH..............47 60 68 74 78 81 20 FT WIND......N 4 N 2 N 2 NE 2 N 1 N 1 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....5700 2400 700 1000 900 700 TRANSPORT WIND..S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 68. RH..................MIN 26 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100-5600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 0 TO 3 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV.....PATCHY WEATHER TYPE....FROST NONE NONE NONE TEMP............37 53 64 67 RH..............84 46 32 30 20 FT WIND......N 2G5 N 3G5 N 4G10 N 5G10 MIX HGT (FT)....900 4200 4800 5500 TRANSPORT WIND..S 0 N 13 N 14 N 14 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...PACKETT REQUESTED BY...JON TEUTRINE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101004.TRIGG.01/PAH