FNUS75 KBOU 061131 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR COW CREEK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 531 AM MDT WED OCT 6 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA INTO FRIDAY. A SLIGHTLY COOLER...MORE MOIST AIRMASS WILL COVER THE FORECAST AREA TODAY. WARMER AND DRIER AIR IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY. AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO COLORADO ON FRIDAY. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE AGAIN AND TEMPERATURES WILL COOL-OFF. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-63. MIN HUMIDITY........40-50%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 10-20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12-20 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHEAST AROUND 24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700...THEN 4200-5200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. VERY GOOD AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-48. MAX HUMIDITY........60-70%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 12-18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE EVENING THEN 20 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4800 FT AGL UNTIL 2100. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 0400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2100. POOR AFTER 2400. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-68. MIN HUMIDITY........25-35%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9-20 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 20-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 9600-10600 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0600. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR COW CREEK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/06-04 66 10 43 62 NE 7 1 347 E 7 2426 P 10/06-05 66 10 44 61 E 9 1 439 E 9 3709 P 10/06-06 73 10 44 64 E 10 10 2 2 S24 531 E 10 4992 P 10/06-07 73 10 44 70 E 12 2 1217 E 13 16156 P 10/06-08 73 10 48 67 E 12 2 1904 E 15 27321 P 10/06-09 73 10 52 65 E 13 21 2 2 S18 2590 SE 17 38485 P 10/06-10 73 10 54 62 E 14 2 3376 SE 20 58413 F 10/06-11 73 10 56 59 SE 14 2 4161 SE 21 78341 G 10/06-12 83 30 57 58 SE 15 24 2 4 S15 4947 SE 23 98269 G 10/06-13 83 30 57 58 SE 16 4 5095 SE 23 103634 V 10/06-14 83 30 58 58 SE 16 4 5243 SE 24 108999 V 10/06-15 83 30 58 58 SE 17 28 2 4 S16 5391 SE 24 114364 V 10/06-16 83 30 57 56 SE 17 4 5192 SE 24 109212 V 10/06-17 83 30 54 56 SE 17 4 4993 SE 24 104060 V 10/06-18 83 30 57 47 SE 17 28 2 4 S21 4793 SE 24 98908 G 10/06-19 83 30 54 50 SE 17 4 4221 S 24 87048 G 10/06-20 83 30 52 54 SE 17 4 3648 S 24 75187 G 10/06-21 83 30 51 56 SE 17 28 2 4 S24 3075 S 24 63327 G 10/06-22 83 30 50 58 S 15 4 2860 S 21 52690 F 10/06-23 83 30 50 58 S 13 4 2644 S 17 42054 F 10/07-00 36 10 49 59 S 10 10 2 1 SW29 2429 S 15 31418 P 10/07-01 36 10 48 59 S 10 1 1933 S 14 24500 P 10/07-02 36 10 47 58 S 12 1 1438 S 14 17582 P 10/07-03 36 10 47 57 S 12 18 2 1 SW24 942 SW 13 10664 P 10/07-04 36 10 47 56 S 12 1 849 SW 12 8896 P 10/07-05 36 10 46 55 S 10 1 755 SW 10 7128 P 10/07-06 36 10 46 55 S 9 9 3 1 S21 661 SW 9 5360 P 10/07-07 36 10 47 53 S 8 1 1885 SW 10 20808 P 10/07-08 36 10 50 46 S 8 1 3108 SW 13 36256 P 10/07-09 36 10 55 39 S 7 7 3 1 SW36 4331 SW 14 51703 F 10/07-10 36 10 59 34 S 6 1 6208 SW 16 92389 G 10/07-11 36 10 61 32 SE 6 1 8085 S 18 132774 V 10/07-12 65 30 62 30 SE 6 6 3 4 SW40 9962 S 20 173159 E 10/07-13 65 30 63 30 SE 7 4 10152 S 20 172124 E 10/07-14 65 30 63 30 SE 7 4 10343 S 20 171088 E 10/07-15 65 30 64 30 SE 9 14 3 4 SW33 10533 SW 18 170053 E 10/07-16 65 30 63 32 SE 10 4 10001 SW 21 181069 E 10/07-17 65 30 62 34 SE 10 4 9470 SW 24 192084 E 10/07-18 78 40 61 36 SE 12 18 3 4 SW49 8939 SW 26 203100 E 10/07-19 78 40 57 40 SE 12 4 6690 SW 22 144147 V 10/07-20 78 40 54 42 S 10 4 4441 S 18 85194 G 10/07-21 78 40 52 42 S 10 16 3 4 SW48 2192 S 14 26241 P 10/07-22 78 40 51 43 S 9 4 1613 S 13 18841 P 10/07-23 78 40 50 42 SW 9 4 1034 S 12 11440 P 10/08-00 78 40 48 43 SW 9 15 3 2 SW59 456 SW 10 4040 P 10/08-01 78 40 47 44 SW 10 2 443 SW 13 4911 P 10/08-02 78 40 46 45 SW 13 2 430 SW 16 5782 P 10/08-03 78 40 45 47 SW 15 23 3 2 SW58 418 SW 18 6654 P 10/08-04 78 40 45 48 SW 16 2 511 SW 21 9924 P 10/08-05 78 40 44 50 SW 18 2 605 SW 24 13194 P 10/08-06 73 30 44 51 SW 20 31 3 1 SW60 699 SW 28 16465 P 10/08-07 73 30 45 50 SW 20 1 1611 SW 30 45002 F 10/08-08 73 30 47 49 SW 18 1 2524 SW 32 73540 G 10/08-09 73 30 50 44 SW 18 29 3 1 SW56 3437 SW 35 102078 V 10/08-10 73 30 53 41 SW 17 1 5114 SW 35 154527 E 10/08-11 73 30 54 40 SW 16 1 6792 SW 35 206977 E 10/08-12 79 30 55 39 SW 15 24 3 4 SW52 8470 SW 36 259426 E 10/08-13 79 30 56 38 SW 15 4 9119 SW 33 263363 E 10/08-14 79 30 56 38 SW 15 4 9767 SW 32 267300 E 10/08-15 79 30 56 38 W 15 23 3 4 SW43 10416 SW 30 271237 E 10/08-16 79 30 56 38 W 15 4 9724 SW 30 252526 E 10/08-17 79 30 55 39 W 15 4 9032 SW 30 233815 E 10/08-18 79 30 53 41 W 16 25 3 4 SW33 8340 SW 30 215103 E 10/08-19 79 30 50 45 W 17 4 7073 SW 31 186731 E 10/08-20 79 30 48 48 W 18 4 5805 W 32 158358 E 10/08-21 79 30 47 49 W 21 32 3 4 SW25 4538 W 33 129985 V 10/08-22 79 30 45 50 W 22 4 4141 W 35 123804 V 10/08-23 79 30 44 50 W 23 4 3745 W 37 117623 V 10/09-00 66 20 43 51 W 24 39 3 1 W17 3349 W 38 111442 V 10/09-01 66 20 42 51 W 24 1 3132 W 39 106941 V 10/09-02 66 20 42 51 W 24 1 2914 W 40 102441 V 10/09-03 66 20 41 52 W 24 39 4 1 NW30 2696 W 41 97940 G 10/09-04 66 20 41 52 W 24 1 2546 W 40 89891 G 10/09-05 66 20 40 53 W 23 1 2395 W 39 81841 G 10/09-06 66 20 40 54 W 22 35 2 1 NW40 2244 W 38 73791 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...FIRE OPERATIONS REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20101005.COWCR.01/BOU