FNUS73 KPAH 050156 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR HOLLY RIDGE CA...MISSOURI DEPT CONSERVATION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 856 PM CDT MON OCT 4 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON OCTOBER 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE REGION THROUGH THE WORK WEEK. AS A RESULT...VERY DRY CONDITIONS AND LIGHT NORTH WINDS WILL BE THE RULE. DUE TO THE VERY DRY AIR AND FUELS...FIRE WEATHER DANGER WILL CONTINUE TO BE ELEVATED...BUT WINDS WILL BE WELL BELOW WARNING LEVELS. .TODAY (TUESDAY)... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........58 AT IGNITION...MAX 70. RH..................39 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 23 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2500-4000 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1200-1800 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 8 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............58 62 66 68 69 68 67 63 RH..............39 32 27 25 23 24 26 32 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 4 5 5 4 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.2 3.7 4.0 3.7 3.2 2.5 1.8 1.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 37. RH..................MAX 85 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV..... PATCHY WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE FROST TEMP............56 49 45 43 41 40 RH..............45 61 71 76 80 82 20 FT WIND......N 2 N 1 N 0 N 0 N 0 NW 0 20 FT WIND GUST. MIX HGT (FT)....600 300 400 600 400 300 TRANSPORT WIND..N 8 N 7 NW 7 NW 7 NW 8 NW 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 76. RH..................MIN 24 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-3900 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1300-1900 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 18 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV.....PATCHY WEATHER TYPE....FROST NONE NONE NONE TEMP............39 58 71 75 RH..............85 45 28 24 20 FT WIND......W 0 W 2G5 W 4G5 W 4G5 MIX HGT (FT)....600 2500 3900 2600 TRANSPORT WIND..W 12 W 10 W 10 W 16 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 5 $$ FORECASTER...MEFFERT REQUESTED BY...BOB GILLESPIE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101005.HOLLY.01/PAH