FNUS73 KPAH 051341 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR TA 28 FALL...DOD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 841 AM CDT TUE OCT 5 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON OCTOBER 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE REGION FOR THE NEXT WEEK. AS A RESULT...WINDS WILL BE LIGHT THROUGH THE WEEK...AND THE DRY AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE. A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED LEADING INTO THE WEEKEND...AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT BUILDS OVER THE REGION. THIS WILL RESULT IN VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WITH MINIMUM VALUES GENERALLY INTO THE 20S EACH AFTERNOON. DUE TO THE VERY DRY AIR AND FUELS...FIRE DANGER WILL CONTINUE TO BE ELEVATED...DESPITE THE LIGHT WINDS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........57 AT IGNITION...MAX 67. RH..................38 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 24 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3400-5300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 2400 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 0 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO NORTH 15 TO 21 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............57 61 63 65 65 65 64 60 RH..............38 32 30 27 26 26 28 32 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 6 6 5 4 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 10 15 10 10 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...4.7 4.8 4.8 5.1 5.3 5.1 3.9 2.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N NW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.21 18 16 17 17 16 10 5 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 35. RH..................MAX 88 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV..... PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE FROST FROST FROST TEMP............54 47 43 41 39 38 RH..............41 57 64 71 75 79 20 FT WIND......N 3 N 2 N 2 N 2 NW 2 NW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....1100 700 800 800 800 700 TRANSPORT WIND..S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 74. RH..................MIN 21 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-4800 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 2300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 0 TO 5 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV.....PATCHY WEATHER TYPE....FROST NONE NONE NONE TEMP............37 56 69 73 RH..............85 47 28 23 20 FT WIND......NW 2G5 W 4G10 W 5G10 W 5 MIX HGT (FT)....800 3300 4300 4600 TRANSPORT WIND..S 0 NW 14 NW 16 NW 15 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...PACKETT REQUESTED BY...DREW MICKOLAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20101005.TA28F.01/PAH