FNUS75 KRIW 060955 FWSRIW SPOT FORECAST FOR BULL...IA TDC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY 355 AM MDT WED OCT 6 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2025 MDT ON OCTOBER 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A CUTOFF UPPER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHWEST U.S. WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN...AND EJECT NORTHEAST TODAY AND THURSDAY. THE FIRST PIECE OF ENERGY WILL ROTATE NORTH AND NORTHWEST ACROSS WYOMING THIS EVENING. A BAND OF PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO PUSH NORTH INTO THE AREA WITH THIS FEATURE TONIGHT...MAINLY BETWEEN 2100 AND MIDNIGHT...WITH A GOOD SHOT AT RECEIVING SOME RAINFALL. A LOW LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW WILL PREVAIL TODAY WITH LITTLE TREND IN TEMPERATURE FROM TUESDAY AND SLIGHTLY HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITY. THE MAIN UPPER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL LIFT ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY WITH A DRIER AND COOLER SOUTHERLY FLOW PRECEDING ON THURSDAY...AND THEN SHOWERS INCREASING THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY WITH SOME SNOW POSSIBLE ABOVE 8000 FEET. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... ...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT... FORECASTER...MEUNIER/MURRELL .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY WITH A THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE AFTER 1500. MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-69 AT 7000 FEET TO 58-63 AT RIDGE TOP LEVEL. MIN HUMIDITY........34-38 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......EAST OR DOWN CANYON 4-8 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH BETWEEN 1400 AND 1500. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH AROUND 1500. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 2. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.2 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS THROUGH 2100...THEN BECOMING CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS FROM 2100 THROUGH MIDNIGHT. CLOUDS AND SHOWERS DECREASING AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-42. MAX HUMIDITY........93-96 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......EAST SOUTHEAST 5-9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WIND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH VEERING SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.15 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH 1500...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....61 TO 64 AT 7000 FEET. 55-59 AT RIDGE TOP. MIN HUMIDITY........34-37 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH AFTER 1500. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 2. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS...SNOW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...MEUNIER/MURRELL REQUESTED BY...DAVE WILKINS REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20101005.BULL_.01/RIW