FNUS75 KRIW 051357
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR CLIFF CREEK...USFS BTF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
757 AM MDT TUE OCT 5 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0652 MDT ON OCTOBER 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A LARGE UPPER LOW OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY
UNTIL THURSDAY WHEN IT WILL LIFT NORTHEAST TOWARDS WESTERN WYOMING.
THE COMBINATION OF MOISTURE AND AFTERNOON INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THIS
SYSTEM WILL RESULT IN CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS TODAY AND WEDNESDAY
WITH ISOLATED MORNING SHOWERS AND SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLY AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM. THE LOW TO MID LEVEL FLOW WILL
GENERALLY BE SOUTHEAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE INTO
WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF THE UPPER LOW.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...SKRBAC

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). PATCHY MORNING FOG
                    UNTIL 1000L. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING
                    ...THEN SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-66.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    AFTER 1300L. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.7 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500-6000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 11 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR...BECOMING GOOD (30100-75200 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT. ISOLATED SNOW
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-36.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-93 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.3 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-5200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR...DECREASING TO POOR AFTER DARK.
                    (5000-55200 KNOT-FT).

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-68.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-36 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 10
                    TO 12 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 20 TO 25 MPH...DECREASING TO 15-20 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-4500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 22 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (35000-81100 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS...SNOW SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...SKRBAC
REQUESTED BY...STROMBERG
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20101005.CLIFF.01/RIW