FNUS75 KRIW 061133
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR CLIFF CREEK...IA TDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
533 AM MDT WED OCT 6 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1918 MDT ON OCTOBER 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A DISTURBANCE ROTATING AROUND AN UPPER LOW OVER CALIFORNIA WILL
PUSH NORTH AND NORTHWEST...AND AFFECT AREAS WEST OF THE DIVIDE
TONIGHT. THERE IS A GOOD SHOT SHOT AT SOME PRECIPITATION WITH
THIS FEATURE...MAINLY BETWEEN 9 PM AND 2 AM. TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY...WITH RELATIVELY HIGH
AFTERNOON HUMIDITY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT THIS
MORNING. ONCE THE MORNING INVERSION LIFTS...THE SOUTHEAST WINDS
ALOFT ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AT THE SURFACE...AND FUNNEL THROUGH THE
LITTLE CLIFF CREEK DRAINAGE...BECOMING SOUTH SOUTHEAST AS THE WIND
IS CHANNELED THROUGH THE CLIFF CREEK DRAINAGE.

COOLER CONDITIONS AND A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION WILL PERSIST
THROUGH FRIDAY...AS THE UPPER LOW WEAKENS...AND LIFTS SLOWLY NORTHEAST
ACROSS THE REGION.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...MURRELL

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (75+ PERCENT) BY 1000.
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS. A THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE AFTER
                    1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-42 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH SOUTHEAST
                    5-10 MPH BETWEEN 1300 AND 1500. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    10 TO 15 MPH BY NOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.2 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    15-20 MPH IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (29600 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD (88000
                    KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. BEST CHANCE OF RAIN
                    BETWEEN 9 PM AND 2 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH...BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    3-6 MPH BY 2000. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS. WINDS WITH THE BROKEN LINE OF PRECIPITATION
                    COULD RESULT IN A COUPLE HOURS OF GUSTY SOUTH SOUTHEAST
                    WINDS...BEFORE REVERTING BACK TO DOWNVALLEY WINDS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.20 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1500 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO POOR IN THE EVENING.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH SOUTHEAST 4-7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO FAIR BY EARLY AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS AROUND 30. WINDS GENERALLY LESS
THAN 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS...SNOW
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS
AROUND 50. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...MURRELL
REQUESTED BY...ANDREA
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20101005.CLIFF.02/RIW