FNUS75 KABQ 061427
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR PETACA LAS TABLAS...CAF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
827 AM MDT WED OCT 6 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHERN
NEW MEXICO. THEY WILL BE A BIT MORE LOCALIZED NEAR THE FIRE AREA
WHILE THE MAIN ACTIVITY STAYS TO THE WEST. STORMS WILL TEND TO MOVE
FROM SOUTH TO NORTH AT A PRETTY DECENT CLIP. MID LEVEL WIND FLOW
LOOKS TO BE MODERATE TODAY ALTHOUGH FROM THE SOUTH AND SINCE THE
BURN IS ON A NORTH ASPECT...WINDS WILL BE A TAD SHELTERED THUS
SOME VARIABILITY IN THE SURFACE WINDS POSSIBLE. WIND FLOW IS
EXPECTED TO INCREASE ALOFT ON THURSDAY AND BE MORE SOUTH/SOUTHWEST.
THUS HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY WITHIN AND JUST ABOVE THE
CANOPY. SLIGHTLY WARMER AND DRIER ON THURSDAY.

FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT 10/6/10
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING
                       MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65-67.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 34-37 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS THAN 5 MPH BECOMING
                       A MIX OF UPSLOPE WIND AND SOUTHERLY 6 TO 9
                       MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                       WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. SOME
                       GUSTS IN THE MID/UPPER TEENS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH 17 KNOTS.
   VENTILATION CAT.....VERY GOOD/144500 KNOT-FT.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                       SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 41-44.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 77-83 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO DOWNSLOPE
                       BY MID EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                       EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

FOR THURSDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                       SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66-68.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 30-34 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........TERRAIN DOMINATED TO 6 MPH BECOMING
                       SOUTH/SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH MID/LATE
                       AFTERNOON. OCCASIONAL GUSTS IN THE UPPER
                       TEENS TO AROUND 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                       WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 21 KNOTS.
   VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/199500 KNOT-FT.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...50

$$

REQUESTED BY...TDC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101006.PETAC.03/ABQ