FNUS73 KLSX 061304
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR TIMBERLANE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
804 AM CDT WED OCT 6 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON OCTOBER 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE CANADIAN HIGH THAT HAS CONTROLLED OUR WEATHER THIS WEEK
WILL DRIFT SOUTH...PRODUCING A LIGHT WEST WIND ACROSS THE AREA.
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL DRIFT THROUGH THE AREA LATE TONIGHT AND
GRADUALLY TURN THE WIND TO THE NORTHWEST.  NO RAIN IS EXPECTED
WITH THE FRONT.

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........61 AT IGNITION...MAX 76.
RH..................49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....WEST 2 TO 4 MPH...ADJUSTMENT FACTOR .3
WIND...20 FT........WINDS WEST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WIND DURING MID MORNING BECOMING WEST 5
                    TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...2800 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 12 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (4383 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51.
RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....WEST 2 MPH...ADJUSTMENT FACTOR .3
WIND...20 FT........LIGHT WIND EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING WEST 5
                    TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 74.
RH..................MIN 39 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....NORTH 2 TO 4 MPH...ADJUSTMENT FACTOR .3
WIND...20 FT........LIGHT WIND EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH
                    FROM MID MORNING UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON BECOMING
                    LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (4006 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...TRUETT
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS WOODS  DFMO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101006.TIMBE.01/LSX