FNUS76 KMFR 061459
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR MCINTOSH UNDERBURN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
759 AM PDT WED OCT 6 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON OCTOBER 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER CENTRAL CALIFORNIA WILL
CONTINUE TO  DRIFT NORTH TO NORTHEAST TOWARDS THE AREA. THIS
WILL BRING MOSTLY CLOUDY AND A SLIGHT TO CHANCE OF SHOWERS TODAY
WITH THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS INCREASING TONIGHT. THERE IS A SLIGHT
RISK FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING
OVER THE AREA. WINDS MAY BE VARIABLE AND GUSTY NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. THE AIRMASS WILL STABILIZE THURSDAY
WITH COOLER CONDITIONS AND A CONTINUING CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR THE
AREA. EXPECT SHOWERS TO MOVE EAST OF THE AREA BY LATE
AFTERNOON. THEN ON FRIDAY A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION
FROM THE WEST AND GRADUALLY MOVE INLAND DURING THE EVENING. THIS
WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN TO THE AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-68.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3000 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING THEN INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 5 MPH INCREASING TO 6 TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE
                    MORNING THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON EXCEPT SOUTHEAST ABOVE 4000 FT AGL.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-1000 FT AGL THROUGH
                    THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-62.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000-2500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 8 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    LATE IN THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON
CWR.................25 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM
REQUESTED BY...DONNA SAGER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101006.MCINT.02/MFR