FNUS73 KMPX 061347
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR GRAVEL PIT ISL...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
847 AM CDT WED OCT 6 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON OCTOBER 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT HAS ALREADY MOVED THROUGH THE BURN SITE THIS MORNING
AND NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING IN DRIER AIR LATE THIS
MORNING AND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. RH VALUES SHOULD BE FALLING
AROUND THE TIME OF IGNITION...WITH VALUES OF 40-50 PERCENT
PRECEDING THE IGNITION TIME...BUT LIKELY FALLING INTO THE 30S
AROUND IGNITION TIME. SHOULD ALSO BE GOOD SUN TODAY AND BREEZY
NORTHERLY WINDS. THE WIND WILL LIKELY SUBSIDE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...WELL BEHIND THE FRONT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........63 AT IGNITION...MAX 68.
RH..................39 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 11 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (11200-37300).
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-3400 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1300 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 16 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 12
                    TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM
SKY (%).........CLEAR  MCLEAR CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............61     63     66     68     60     54
RH..............49     39     34     30     41     50
20 FT WIND......N 11   N 10   N 8    NW 6   NW 5   NW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15     10     10
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 40.
RH..................MAX 67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2000-2600).

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 75.
RH..................MIN 29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR OR MODERATE TO OR HIGH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2200-36700).

$$
FORECASTER...FRANKS
REQUESTED BY...DAN ANGELO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20101006.GRAVE.01/MPX