FNUS75 KBOU 072235 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR CHURCHES PARK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 425 PM MDT THU OCT 7 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL LIFT NORTHEASTWARD INTO COLORADO LATER TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON SATURDAY. THIS WILL BRING A THREAT OF PRECIPITATION BUT RELATIVELY COOL...MOIST AND WINDY CONDITIONS TO THE FIRE AREA. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 2400...THEN RAIN SHOWERS...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-45. MAX HUMIDITY........57-63%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7-13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9600 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN 6600 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 3600 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 2300...THEN 1200-2200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-51. MIN HUMIDITY........49%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-13 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST 12-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5800-6800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. VERY GOOD AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 2400...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....30. MAX HUMIDITY........75%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8-14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6000-7000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 1000-1200 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2300. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....53. MIN HUMIDITY........35%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 8200-9200 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .COLUMBUS DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1800. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS AROUND 60. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR CHURCHES PARK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/07-16 73 40 63 27 S 9 4 11510 S 17 168909 E 10/07-17 73 40 62 29 SW 8 4 10562 S 18 164695 E 10/07-18 74 60 60 31 SW 8 13 3 5 SW22 9614 S 20 160480 E 10/07-19 74 60 56 36 SW 9 5 6575 S 18 109427 V 10/07-20 74 60 53 41 S 12 5 3537 S 17 58374 F 10/07-21 74 60 52 44 S 13 21 3 5 S21 498 S 17 7320 P 10/07-22 74 60 50 48 S 12 5 727 S 15 8705 P 10/07-23 74 60 49 50 S 9 5 957 SW 13 10089 P 10/08-00 74 60 47 53 S 8 13 3 3 S29 1187 SW 12 11474 P 10/08-01 74 60 46 55 S 8 3 1275 SW 12 12806 P 10/08-02 74 60 45 57 S 9 3 1363 SW 12 14139 P 10/08-03 74 60 45 57 S 9 15 3 3 S43 1451 SW 13 15472 P 10/08-04 74 60 44 57 S 9 3 1873 SW 13 21412 P 10/08-05 74 60 44 56 S 9 3 2295 W 14 27353 P 10/08-06 72 56 43 56 SW 8 13 2 3 S43 2717 W 14 33293 P 10/08-07 72 56 44 54 SW 6 3 3225 W 13 35005 P 10/08-08 72 56 44 56 S 5 3 3732 SW 12 36717 P 10/08-09 72 56 46 54 S 3 3 2 3 S47 4239 SW 10 38429 P 10/08-10 72 56 44 60 SW 6 3 5046 SW 12 54641 F 10/08-11 72 56 46 56 W 8 3 5854 SW 14 70852 G 10/08-12 79 56 48 52 NW 12 18 3 4 SW32 6661 SW 15 87064 G 10/08-13 79 56 48 50 W 14 4 6532 SW 16 90531 G 10/08-14 79 56 49 49 W 16 4 6403 W 17 93999 G 10/08-15 79 56 45 55 W 17 28 3 4 SW29 6273 W 18 97467 G 10/08-16 79 56 45 53 W 17 4 6528 W 20 108816 V 10/08-17 79 56 44 55 W 16 4 6782 W 21 120166 V 10/08-18 79 29 46 49 W 14 22 3 1 SW24 7036 W 22 131515 V 10/08-19 79 29 42 55 W 13 1 5811 W 21 106578 V 10/08-20 79 29 40 59 W 10 1 4586 W 20 81641 G 10/08-21 79 29 38 61 W 9 15 2 1 SW13 3361 W 20 56704 F 10/08-22 79 29 37 64 W 8 1 2558 W 16 40794 F 10/08-23 79 29 36 64 W 7 1 1755 W 14 24884 P 10/09-00 66 20 34 67 W 7 7 2 1 NW26 952 W 10 8974 P 10/09-01 66 20 33 69 W 7 1 1034 W 12 10147 P 10/09-02 66 20 32 71 W 8 1 1117 W 12 11319 P 10/09-03 66 20 32 72 W 8 13 2 1 NW38 1200 W 12 12492 P 10/09-04 66 20 31 74 W 8 1 1130 W 12 11498 P 10/09-05 66 20 31 74 W 8 1 1061 W 12 10505 P 10/09-06 66 20 31 75 W 8 13 2 1 NW40 992 W 12 9512 P 10/09-07 66 20 32 70 W 9 1 2347 W 14 36429 P 10/09-08 66 20 36 59 W 9 1 3703 W 17 63346 G 10/09-09 66 20 41 47 W 10 16 2 1 NW36 5059 NW 21 90263 G 10/09-10 66 20 46 40 W 10 1 6240 NW 21 113088 V 10/09-11 66 20 48 38 W 12 1 7421 NW 21 135914 V 10/09-12 66 9 50 36 W 12 18 2 1 NW35 8602 NW 21 158740 E 10/09-13 66 9 51 35 W 12 1 8880 NW 22 167352 E 10/09-14 66 9 52 36 W 12 1 9158 NW 22 175964 E 10/09-15 66 9 52 35 NW 12 18 2 1 NW35 9436 NW 23 184577 E 10/09-16 66 9 52 37 NW 12 1 9074 NW 22 176247 E 10/09-17 66 9 51 39 NW 12 1 8713 NW 22 167916 E 10/09-18 47 5 50 42 NW 12 18 2 1 NW37 8352 NW 22 159586 E 10/09-19 47 5 47 47 NW 10 1 7546 NW 20 133470 V 10/09-20 47 5 44 51 W 9 1 6741 NW 17 107355 V 10/09-21 47 5 43 52 W 8 13 2 1 NW37 5936 NW 16 81239 G 10/09-22 47 5 42 54 W 7 1 5328 NW 15 71417 G 10/09-23 47 5 41 54 W 6 1 4721 W 15 61595 G 10/10-00 44 5 40 56 W 5 5 2 1 NW35 4113 W 15 51773 F 10/10-01 44 5 39 56 W 5 1 3726 W 14 44603 F 10/10-02 44 5 38 56 W 5 1 3340 W 13 37433 P 10/10-03 44 5 38 57 W 5 5 2 1 NW32 2953 W 12 30263 P 10/10-04 44 5 37 57 W 5 1 2843 W 10 27118 P 10/10-05 44 5 37 57 W 3 1 2733 W 10 23974 P 10/10-06 44 5 36 57 NW 3 3 2 1 NW32 2622 W 9 20829 P 10/10-07 44 5 37 55 NW 3 1 4012 W 10 41299 F 10/10-08 44 5 41 49 NW 2 1 5401 NW 13 61768 G 10/10-09 44 5 45 41 NW 2 2 2 1 N28 6791 NW 14 82237 G 10/10-10 44 5 50 36 NW 2 1 7779 NW 14 93039 G 10/10-11 44 5 52 34 CALM 1 8766 NW 14 103840 V 10/10-12 44 5 53 33 CALM 1 2 1 N24 9754 NW 14 114642 V 10/10-13 44 5 54 32 CALM 1 10076 NW 14 119437 V 10/10-14 44 5 54 32 NW 2 1 10399 NW 14 124232 V 10/10-15 44 5 55 32 N 3 3 2 1 N23 10721 NW 14 129027 V 10/10-16 44 5 54 33 N 5 1 10031 NW 14 117535 V 10/10-17 44 5 53 35 N 5 1 9341 NW 13 106043 V 10/10-18 44 0 52 37 N 5 5 2 1 N22 8652 NW 13 94552 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...RUSSELL DAWDY REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20101007.CHURC.01/BOU