FNUS75 KBOU 081206 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR COW CREEK...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 557 AM MDT FRI OCT 8 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED...AND A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO IS ALSO POSSIBLE. THE SNOW LEVEL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AROUND 10 THOUSAND FEET TODAY...POSSIBLY DROPPING A LITTLE THIS EVENING AS SHOWER ACTIVITY DIMINISHES. MOST OF THE SNOW SHOULD MELT...BUT THERE COULD BE ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 2 INCHES ON THE RIDGES. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1500...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). NUMEROUS RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-54. MIN HUMIDITY........41-45%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN WEST 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 28-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 5800-6800 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 9400-10400 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 7600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 2400...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-31. MAX HUMIDITY........65-75%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 28-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5800 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 0300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2400. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53. MIN HUMIDITY........27-32%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 12-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 24-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 8200-9000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .COLUMBUS DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR COW CREEK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/08-04 74 60 47 55 W 10 23 3 1268 SW 28 34418 P 10/08-05 74 60 47 55 W 12 22 3 1701 SW 33 52754 F 10/08-06 73 68 46 56 SW 14 21 3 3 S39 2135 SW 38 71090 G 10/08-07 73 68 46 57 SW 14 3 2425 SW 36 73278 G 10/08-08 73 68 46 58 SW 15 3 2716 SW 32 75465 G 10/08-09 79 68 47 57 W 15 24 3 3 S49 3007 SW 30 77653 G 10/08-10 79 68 48 54 W 14 3 5234 SW 29 131554 V 10/08-11 79 68 50 49 SW 14 3 7462 SW 29 185455 E 10/08-12 79 53 52 45 SW 14 22 3 4 SW43 9689 SW 29 239356 E 10/08-13 79 53 53 43 W 16 4 10015 SW 29 245240 E 10/08-14 79 53 53 41 W 20 4 10341 SW 28 251124 E 10/08-15 50 53 53 41 W 22 35 3 4 SW39 10667 SW 28 257008 E 10/08-16 50 53 53 41 W 22 4 9083 SW 30 228212 E 10/08-17 50 53 51 42 W 22 4 7500 W 31 199416 E 10/08-18 50 27 49 44 W 21 33 3 1 SW23 5916 W 33 170620 E 10/08-19 50 27 47 47 W 20 1 4687 W 33 135407 V 10/08-20 50 27 44 50 W 18 1 3458 W 33 100194 V 10/08-21 52 27 41 54 W 17 28 4 1 W15 2229 W 33 64981 G 10/08-22 52 27 39 57 W 17 1 1877 W 33 54045 F 10/08-23 52 27 37 59 W 17 1 1524 W 32 43108 F 10/09-00 52 20 36 62 W 17 28 3 1 SW15 1172 W 31 32172 P 10/09-01 52 20 35 65 W 17 1 1062 W 31 28760 P 10/09-02 52 20 34 67 W 17 1 952 W 31 25349 P 10/09-03 59 20 33 68 W 17 29 3 1 W17 842 W 30 21937 P 10/09-04 59 20 32 68 W 21 1 765 W 31 20455 P 10/09-05 59 20 31 67 W 24 1 689 W 32 18972 P 10/09-06 66 20 31 66 W 26 43 2 1 NW35 612 W 33 17490 P 10/09-07 66 20 31 65 W 25 1 1674 W 31 43183 F 10/09-08 66 20 32 63 W 23 1 2737 W 30 68876 G 10/09-09 66 20 43 40 W 20 31 2 1 NW39 3799 W 29 94568 G 10/09-10 66 20 49 33 W 17 1 5571 NW 23 115984 V 10/09-11 66 20 51 30 W 16 1 7133 NW 24 154866 E 10/09-12 66 10 53 28 W 15 24 3 2 NW18 8696 NW 25 193747 E 10/09-13 66 10 53 28 W 15 2 8521 NW 25 185989 E 10/09-14 66 10 53 27 W 15 2 8346 NW 24 178230 E 10/09-15 66 10 53 27 W 15 24 2 2 W17 8171 NW 24 170472 E 10/09-16 66 10 53 27 W 14 2 8587 NW 24 178562 E 10/09-17 66 10 53 27 W 13 2 9003 NW 24 186652 E 10/09-18 47 10 53 27 W 13 21 3 2 NW18 9419 NW 24 194742 E 10/09-19 47 10 50 30 W 14 2 8150 NW 23 165940 E 10/09-20 47 5 48 32 W 16 1 6882 NW 23 137139 V 10/09-21 47 5 47 34 W 17 28 3 1 NW21 5613 NW 22 108338 V 10/09-22 47 5 46 36 W 18 1 5038 NW 24 103797 V 10/09-23 47 5 45 37 W 18 1 4462 NW 26 99256 G 10/10-00 44 5 44 39 W 18 30 2 1 N20 3886 NW 28 94715 G 10/10-01 44 5 43 40 W 18 1 3555 NW 29 89871 G 10/10-02 44 5 42 41 W 20 1 3223 NW 31 85028 G 10/10-03 44 5 42 42 W 20 31 2 1 N26 2892 NW 32 80184 G 10/10-04 44 5 41 43 W 20 1 2944 NW 32 82093 G 10/10-05 44 5 41 43 NW 18 1 2997 NW 32 84003 G 10/10-06 44 5 42 43 NW 18 30 2 1 N31 3049 NW 32 85913 G 10/10-07 44 5 42 43 NW 18 1 4015 NW 30 98184 G 10/10-08 44 5 45 39 NW 20 1 4981 N 26 110455 V 10/10-09 44 5 49 35 NW 20 31 2 1 N32 5947 N 24 122726 V 10/10-10 44 5 53 31 NW 20 1 7169 N 23 142974 V 10/10-11 44 5 54 30 NW 18 1 8390 N 23 163221 E 10/10-12 44 5 56 30 NW 17 28 2 1 N30 9612 N 22 183469 E 10/10-13 44 5 57 29 NW 16 1 9926 N 21 180767 E 10/10-14 44 5 57 29 NW 14 1 10241 N 20 178066 E 10/10-15 44 5 58 29 NW 13 21 2 1 N28 10556 N 20 175364 E 10/10-16 44 5 57 30 N 12 1 9939 N 18 158925 E 10/10-17 44 5 56 31 N 12 1 9322 N 17 142485 V 10/10-18 44 0 55 32 N 10 16 2 1 N29 8705 N 16 126045 V 10/10-19 44 0 52 35 N 9 1 7288 N 15 97665 G 10/10-20 44 0 49 38 N 7 1 5871 N 13 69284 G 10/10-21 44 0 48 39 N 6 6 2 1 N28 4455 N 10 40903 F 10/10-22 44 0 47 40 N 5 1 3961 NW 9 33853 P 10/10-23 44 0 46 40 N 3 1 3467 NW 8 26803 P 10/11-00 33 0 45 41 N 2 2 2 1 N24 2973 NW 8 19753 P 10/11-01 33 0 44 42 N 2 1 2524 NW 7 15965 P 10/11-02 33 0 43 43 CALM 1 2075 NW 7 12178 P 10/11-03 33 0 43 44 CALM 1 2 1 N24 1626 NW 6 8390 P 10/11-04 33 0 42 45 CALM 1 1370 NW 6 6620 P 10/11-05 33 0 42 46 CALM 1 1115 NW 5 4851 P 10/11-06 33 0 42 48 CALM 0 2 1 N29 859 NW 5 3081 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD REQUESTED BY...ALEX VIKTORA REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20101007.COWCR.01/BOU